Currencies

Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Racing To A Near-Term Peak?

Two of 2017’s major investing themes thus far are the return of Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and the prolonged weakness in the U.S. Dollar (CURRENCY:USD). Year-to-date, Gold is up 15.72% while the U.S. Dollar is down 9.57%.  This follows a multi-year decline in Gold and a multi-year rise in the Dollar. The…

U.S. Equities Update: Bulls Need To See Follow Through

How things can change with a new week. After struggling last week and posting losses, the major US stock market averages are off to the races this week. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) closed up over 1 percent on Monday. Of interest are the 10 Year Treasury Note Yield (INDEXCBOE:TNX)…

The U.S. Dollar Trade: A Macro To Micro Analysis

Note that this post went out to my “Gone Fishing” newsletter subscribers this past weekend. After hitting a 14-year high at the end of 2016, the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) has lost 11% in 2017. Whether a reaction to Trump talking it down post inauguration, US real disinflation, Euro melt-up (which…

U.S. Equities Market Update: Uncertainty Weighs On Traders

Most U.S. stock market indexes are trading down slightly with Europe and Asia largely mixed. Investors are still seeing signs of risk-off behavior with the USD/JPY (dollar/yen) sliding to lows of the year, Treasury yields trading slightly lower, and gold and silver higher. The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) is still very…

Is This Gold Breakout For Real: Watch The Japenese Yen!

There’s been a lot of discussion recently of the breakout in gold prices. The yellow metal had been trading in a range for the last several months, seeing resistance just under $1,300/oz and support at $1,220/oz. While I do believe the breakout is encouraging and does align with seasonality for…

Stock Market Trading Update: Bulls Press The Market Higher

S&P 500 – (2-3 Days)- BULLISH  I expect a near-term upward push above 2462 on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX).  This should turn the short-term trend back to positive for a rally into early September.  A move above 2462 would allow for a larger bounce before any selloff gets underway.   Technical Thoughts No…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: Bulls Defend Support

We’re seeing some minor backing and filling today following Tuesdays’s big rally. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is giving back around 1/3 of yesterday’s gains at the time of this writing. European stocks are also trading fractionally lower despite some good economic data. The trend remains lower from early August…

3 COT Charts For Commodities Traders (August 18)

The following are charts and data showing non-commercial futures trading positions as of August 15, 2017. This data was released with the August 18 Commitment of Traders Report (CoT). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The 3 charts below look at non-commercial futures trading positions for Crude Oil, Gold, and…

Around The Financial Markets: 3 Charts I’m Watching Today

Tuesday is off and running and market participants are in a read and react mode.  The bounce is still in motion but there’s plenty of time to see how this plays out.  And plenty of variables to watch. The latest economic data:  Empire Manufacturing is showing a large beat at…