Currencies

The Vibe: Are Broad Markets Creeping Toward A Pullback?

The Vibe: A quick, and I mean quick weekly or even bi-weekly rundown of the things Sean Emory is seeing in the market RIGHT NOW. An emphasis on broad markets, single equities, and anything in between. It’s low key good.   The Details: Investor sentiment picked up dramatically following the Trump victory in November….

The COT Report (January 20): Commodities Futures Spotlight

The following is a recap of the January 20 COT Report (Commitment Of Traders Report) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at COT data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of January 17. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this blog…

Richardson GMP 2017 Market Outlook: Policy “Trumps” Cycle

The following was written by the Richardson GMP Asset Management Team:  Craig Basinger (CIO), James Price (Director), Gareth Watson (Director), Chris Kerlow (PM), Derek Benedet (Analyst), Shane Obata (Analyst), and Joey Mack (Director).   This bull market is like a fine wine that keeps getting better with age. In its eighth…

Are Investors Pulling Too Much “Awesome” Forward?

  U.S. markets have “celebrated” the Trump election, with the S&P 500 () rising ~8% after a quick ~4% drop pre-election (and much deeper drop in futures the night of the election). There are quite a number of themes, positive and negative, continuing into the new year. The “positives” –…

5 Charts For Global Investors: Key Market Trends

It’s time for another set of 5 macro technical charts to watch as we move further into the month of January (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at technical price developments.  And even if you’re not technical analysis minded…

US Dollar Oversold, But Weakness Extends Commodities Rally

The US Dollar Index’s decline to start 2017 could prove important for the near-term, as we’ve seen a decent bounce in commodities that looks to have some trading “legs”.  On a short-term basis, that may mean further strength for select commodities in the next 2-3 trading days. The US Dollar index…

The COT Report: 3 Charts For Commodities Traders

The following is a recap of the January 6 COT Report (Commitment Of Traders Report) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at COT data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of January 3. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this blog…

S&P 500 Update: Upside Potential Into Mid-January

S&P 500 Futures (2-3 Days) – Bullish – Pullbacks ended up being minor by end of day yesterday, and prices retraced nearly all the weakness to close near highs. This is a short-term positive development. Movement up to near 2285 looks likely into January 12 before any peak. A move under…

COT Report: The State Of Commodities Into 2017

The following is a recap of the December 30 COT Report (Commitment Of Traders Report) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at COT data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of December 27. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this blog…

US Dollar Update: These Two Charts Point To Further Upside

When the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) rallied 25%across 2014/2015 it triggered a series of ripple effects that reverberated across global markets and economies, weighing heavily on commodities and forcing tightening of financial conditions in the US and emerging markets. As an investor having good handle on the outlook for the US…