Gold & Silver

Chart Spotlight: Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Near BIG Level

Gold bugs are beginning to stir, and for good reason. 2017 has seen domestic and geo-political tensions escalate along with a pullback in the U.S. Dollar. BUT, gold prices have yet to record a convincing breakout and still remain in a bear market. Below is a chart that gold bugs and gold…

The COT Report: 3 Charts For Commodities Traders (June 2)

The following are non-commercial futures trading positions as of May 30, 2017. Note that the data were released in the June 2 COT Report (Commitment of Traders). Below are 3 charts of futures trading positions for commodities traders, including Crude Oil, Gold, and the US Dollar. Crude oil: Currently net long 434.8k,…

3 Reasons Why I’m Neutral On Gold Prices

The iShares Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD) continues to oscillate around its flattish 200-day average, frustrating bulls and bear alike. Gold prices and the Gold ETF (GLD) are most likely being held hostage by the action in Treasuries and the U.S. Dollar. Treasuries via TLT (NASDAQ:TLT) have rebounded after what looked like a false…

Currency Market “Shift” At Play? US Dollar Breaking Key Support

The US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) has shown strength versus the Euro (CURRENCY:EUR) since 2008, with the “meat” of that strength coming in the last 3 to 4 years. This strength worked as a headwind for precious metals, emerging markets, and at times, the domestic economy. But that market dynamic is at a crossroads… and may…

Gold (GLD) Trading Update: Failed Breakout Creates Headwind

The iShares Gold Trust (GLD) breakout failed and its price is back below the flattish 200-day average. This is not all that surprising, though. And this has to do with the failed breakout in Treasuries (NASDAQ:TLT). The two asset classes remain highly correlated. Gold prices via GLD remain above the March…

The COT Report: Gold, Crude Oil Rally But Data Mixed

The following is a recap of the recent Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and commodity futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of May 9. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…

Trading Spotlight: Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Rally

The Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDXJ) have taken their lumps over the past 3 months. The ride has been volatile and included a couple of steep declines. The most recent decline comes on the heels of a drop in gold prices (NYSEARCA:GLD). Note that the senior gold miners (NYSEARCA:GDX) didn’t…

Gold Bugs: Keep An Eye On The Shadow Fed Funds Rate

This week I thought I would focus on a particularly interesting chart for the outlook for the gold price.  I think it is particularly interesting, because both bulls and bears will be able to take something away from it to suit their case! But I will say, as a pre-warning,…

Gold Miners ETF (GDX): Critical Juncture For Bulls!

Gold Mining stocks are at an interesting juncture right now. Two popular Gold Miner ETF’s, VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDXJ) have recently seen historical outflows, as reported by Sentimentrader.com. It was reported that total outflows from GDX and GDXJ topped $800 million on April 26, the largest one-day…