Gold & Silver

Gold Trading Update: Eyeing Bonds & The U.S. Dollar

The trading setup for gold is very interesting here. At this point, there are a lot of “ifs” for this trade working out. The COT data for gold is only slightly bullish. Yet intermarket analysis looks promising:  If yields are topping here (bond prices bottoming), and the US dollar rolls over…

Stock Market Futures Weekly Trend Outlook – March 6

THE BIG PICTURE  Serious Open Gaps! For weeks now I have been commenting on how relentless the market has been without any durable pullbacks.  Even in week 9 the market managed to push up to higher highs once again… but caution remains as key events on the horizon may be just the…

Gold Futures & Miners Decline Again: What’s Next?

This week the Gold Miners (NYSEARCA:GDX) have been hit hard, and Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) itself has seen some downside follow through. So what’s next for the yellow metal? Gold is in an interesting position. I see two possible scenarios: 1) The strength can continue upon a breakout above ~1,300 and ultimately…

The Gold Market Is Getting Complacent: Watch This Chart!

A little too quiet for Gold… Gold came to my attention for a couple of reasons this week. First was the sentiment signals in the latest sentix survey – I tweeted the chart here.  Second I decided to feature it in the latest edition of the Tuesday Macro Technicals report. I…

Bitcoin Trades Near Parity With Gold (chart spotlight)

While Gold (NYSEACA:GLD) has been on a tear in 2017. But as Bloomberg noted last week, Bitcoin is closing the gap! Gold is trading at $1,258 an ounce while the cryptocurrency (CURRENCY:BTC) is trading near the narrowest gap in history at $79 below spot gold prices. Earlier in 2017, Bitcoin…

Gold Chart Update: Bulls Look To Power Through Resistance

After a second wave higher in the 2017 rally, gold prices spent much of last week trading in consolidation mode. Although the backdrop is bullish, the shiny metal nears key price resistance. Gold Price Resistance The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEARCA:GLD) is sitting just under minor chart resistance near 118. And just…

Gold Miners (GDX): Gold Bugs May Not Be Immune Here

A key driver for gold prices (NYSEARCA:GLD) in early 2016 was Japanese negative interest rate policy rolled out at the end of January (note the sharp up move in the Gold Bugs chart below by my colleague Arun Chopra CFA CMT). After the Bank of Japan refused to go further…

Commodities Speculative Positioning At 10 Year High

The below chart shows average speculative futures positioning (standardized against open interest*) across 15 different commodities – giving effectively an asset class view for commodities. The main takeaway is that speculators are the most net-long commodities they’ve been in more than 10 years. Commodity speculative positioning (futures) at a 10…

5 Global Charts For Active Investors – February 7

It’s time for another round of macro technical charts as investors move further into the month of February (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at 5 charts with key technical price developments.  Even if you’re not technical analysis…