Commodities

Inside The Markets: 5 Charts For Active Investors (February 22)

It’s time for another round of macro technical charts as investors attempt to weigh the risk to reward ratio across several markets (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at 5 charts with important technical price developments.  Even if you’re not…

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook For February 22

S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Considerations For February 22, 2017 Bullish action still holds with higher support today. We tested a new high and pulled back a bit, but charts hold steady.  Caution with breakouts are still advised and looking to support zones to initiate longs remains the best bet for risk averse trading. Buying pressure will…

Crude Oil Price Compression: A Big Move Is Coming

We have an oil market in indecision. Indecision = compression. Crude oil price compression is building energy for a big move. There a variety of influences at play in the crude oil market: (i) with Permian-mania as a new swing producer (quick production switch back on and total production costs…

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook For February 21

S&P 500 Futures Market Considerations For February 21, 2017 ES_F– Bullish action still holds with higher support levels building today.  We have been trapped in a channel after reaching a new high in the Globex event (holiday yesterday).  Pullbacks on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) will still be bought. Although the chart is not…

Crude Oil Technical Update: Market Bulls Face Hurdles

There’s been very little change in the outlook for crude oil over the past week. Fundamental and technical hurdles remain but from a price perspective, traders are awaiting a major “break” in either direction. Crude Oil Technical Picture West Texas crude oil (WTI) is trading just above $53 per barrel, as it…

Gold Chart Update: Bulls Look To Power Through Resistance

After a second wave higher in the 2017 rally, gold prices spent much of last week trading in consolidation mode. Although the backdrop is bullish, the shiny metal nears key price resistance. Gold Price Resistance The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEARCA:GLD) is sitting just under minor chart resistance near 118. And just…

Global Markets Update: 5 Charts To Watch Now (February 15)

It’s time for another round of macro technical charts as investors attempt to weigh the risk to reward ratio in several markets (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at 5 charts with key technical price developments.  Even if…

Gold Miners (GDX): Gold Bugs May Not Be Immune Here

A key driver for gold prices (NYSEARCA:GLD) in early 2016 was Japanese negative interest rate policy rolled out at the end of January (note the sharp up move in the Gold Bugs chart below by my colleague Arun Chopra CFA CMT). After the Bank of Japan refused to go further…

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook For February 10

S&P 500 Futures Considerations For February 10, 2017 Tax reform news kept markets higher yesterday, and overnight gains in Europe and Asia are allowing for more gains this morning.  Buying breakouts is still not the best bet for risk versus reward, but buying pullbacks has been golden.  As with yesterday,…

Commodities Speculative Positioning At 10 Year High

The below chart shows average speculative futures positioning (standardized against open interest*) across 15 different commodities – giving effectively an asset class view for commodities. The main takeaway is that speculators are the most net-long commodities they’ve been in more than 10 years. Commodity speculative positioning (futures) at a 10…