Investing Research

Markets In Flux: What Happens At 3.0%?

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield appears to be rising into the 3.0% level. Now a number of market chatters have pointed to 3% as a critical threshold, from a resistance level and for a potential negative feedback loop onto the equity markets. Looking at the chart below, it is easy…

Stock Market History: Bullish Trends And Pullbacks To 200-Day

Easier Market Calendar year 1995 featured a very strong trend with little in the way of pullbacks for the S&P 500. Harder Market Since easier markets are typically followed by harder markets, it is not surprising 1996 was more challenging than 1995. We know “markets need to consolidate their gains”,…

Flash Global PMI Says “Carry On Bonds”

This week we’re looking at some fresh flash economic data. The Markit flash PMIs. Using GDP weights we can construct a “global flash PMI” and the reason for doing so will become obvious very quickly… And given the dynamics playing out in global markets right now this article is particularly timely. The…

Google Q1 2018 Earnings: 3 Must-See Charts

Google is at the forefront of practically every industry of the future. With that, we should all pay attention to what they are doing and saying regardless of any investment interest. And this came into play with Google’s first quarter earnings report released on Monday, April 23. For example, they…

Corporate Earnings Importance To Grow As 2018 Wears On

Macro View With earnings season heating up (179 companies in the S&P 500 report this week), investors are likely to be focused on the ability of companies to beat or exceed earnings for the first quarter, as well as any available guidance for coming quarters. The earnings season is off…

Participating In Bull Markets Means Longer Investing Timeframes

RARE SIGNAL IN 1982 AND 2016 A December 2016 video covered an extremely rare signal that occurred in 1982 and 2016.  Since then, markets have reacted in a bullish manner, meaning we have no reason to doubt the long-term signal that occurred at the end of 2016.  Therefore, it may be helpful…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For April 24

Broad Stock Market Futures Outlook for April 24, 2018 Congestion remains the formation with a bounce in progress into old resistance regions in the S&P 500 near 2687. We are in a retrace of bullish motion from last week and close to stock market support levels that need to hold across…

Stock Market Trends Update & Outlook (Week 17)

The Big Picture After a week off, I’m glad to be back.  Investors are operating in a climate that is prone to reversals and quick moves so we must remain focused on stock market trends within our given trading timeframes. There is still a lot of “noise” out there as…

U.S. Corn Futures Weekly Outlook: Hugging The 100 Day MA

JULY corn futures closed down last week. Here’s a look at the week ahead and what I’m watching in the corn market… and how July Corn futures are shaping up. Weekly Highlights & Corn Outlook Monday’s Weekly Crop Progress report showed the U.S. corn crop just 3% planted as of…

Alcoa (AA) Drops 12%: Cycles Suggest to Sell The Bounce

Alcoa (AA) plummeted 12% on Monday morning, after the US Treasury Department softened its aluminum sanctions. Aluminum prices fell by 8%, after a the Treasury Department said it would reconsider its stance on sanctions affecting Rusal, if Oleg Deripaska relinquished control in the company. “The US government is not targeting…