Investing Research

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Investors Look For New Leadership

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), key stock market trends and indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending June 23, 2017: Looking for New…

Sector Update: Health Care and Biotech Stocks Hot

I recommended the Health Care Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLV) in my June 8th “On The Mark” newsletter, predicting a short-term move up to the 79/80 area. Today we’ll provide an update while looking at the red-hot biotech sector (NASDAQ:IBB) as well. XLV is now trading at 79.63 for a 3.8% gain in…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Can Bulls Push Stocks Higher Yet?

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Bullish The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has held the midpoint of its daily Bollinger Bands, an area that also held as support back on June 15th. With prices literally unchanged since the market close on June 2nd, the trend has been literally been neutral…

Stock Market Futures Trading Update: Bulls & Bears Collide

S&P 500 Futures Trading Considerations For June 23, 2017 The battle lines are drawn on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and traders are competing for power across these price lines (support/resistance).  We’re pretty much landlocked until either buyers or sellers win out. Check out today’s economic calendar with a full rundown of releases….

Crude Oil Trading Outlook Across Multiple Time Frames

In a recent edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report I talked about the likelihood of further short-term downside in the oil price based on a few factors. However this is a tactically bearish view and our view is that oil will go higher over the medium term as the market slowly…

Deutsche Bank Stock Chart Forming Bullish Buy Pattern

After bottoming in September of 2016, Deutsche Bank’s stock (NYSE:DB) nearly doubled (to $21 in January of this year). And the latest zig zag pullback is creating a potentially bullish buy setup for DB shares just below current prices. As you can see in the chart below, Deutsche Bank’s stock…

Nasdaq Futures Trading Outlook For June 22

Stock Market Futures Trading Considerations For June 22, 2017 Landlocked trading on the Nasdaq (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) was the hallmark of yesterday. With generally sideways momentum, pullbacks will likely see buyers, delivering a lower high. Sellers are definitely present, though. Check out today’s economic calendar with a full rundown of releases.  And note that the charts…

How Does 2017 Compare To Stock Market Peaks In 2000 And 2007?

2000 Dot-Com Market Peak: The 200-Day Moving Average Was Helpful “I think one of the secrets to trading success is cutting down the number of trades you make.” –  Michael Marcus, Market Wizards A market’s 200-day moving average (thin red line in charts below) can assist in monitoring investors’ net…

System Traders: The Noise Test and Lying Backtests

Can you trust a backtest? Below is a simple strategy that uses intermarket signals from the Japanese Yen to trade US 30 Year Bond Futures. It only has 2 rules for entry. The strategy produces fairly stable in-sample returns especially for being so simple. The in sample period is from…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Targeting New Highs Into Next Week

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days): Bullish Yesterday’s pullback on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) failed to do much technical damage. I believe it’s still right to remain long here, expecting a move up into Expiration and/or early next week to 2455 (low end) / 2475 (high end). Until prices move…