Investing Research

Ever-Accumulating Debt & Trade Deficits: Triffin Warned Us

Trade negotiations and threatening global tariff volleys are contributing to significant volatility in the financial markets. Although applicable in many ways, the Smoot-Hawley protectionist act of 1930 is unfairly emphasized as the primary point of reference for understanding current events. In 1944, an historic agreement was forged amongst global leaders…

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Ever-Accumulating Debt & Trade Deficits: Triffin Warned Us

Trade negotiations and threatening global tariff volleys are contributing to significant volatility in the financial markets. Although applicable in many ways, the Smoot-Hawley protectionist act of 1930 is unfairly emphasized as the primary point of reference for understanding current events. In 1944, an historic agreement was forged amongst global leaders…

Commodities Compression: Price Nearing A Decision Point!

The commodities space has dealt investors a difficult hand over the past decade. Back in 2010/11, the Thomson Reuters Equal Weight Commodities Index peaked following a fast and furious move to the upside. Since then, Commodities have been a mess. Failed rallies and rangebound trade have caused frustration across crude…

S&P 500 Climbs Higher Toward Time / Price Targets

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days): BULLISH The S&P 500 is getting closer to areas where a stallout is possible. The broad index has been UP 7 days in the last 10 and momentum is beginning to wane a bit. Financials continue to lag and remain an issue. HOWEVER, until evidence of…

IBM Stock Outlook: Risk Skews to the Downside

IBM is trading 7% lower on Wednesday morning, after beating Wall Street consensus for earnings and revenue but missing on guidance. Can it go lower?  Yes, I believe it can… read on. IBM reported earnings per share of $2.45 and total revenue of $19.1 billion, compared to analyst expectations of…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Update: Pullback Should Find Buyers

Broad Stock Market Futures Outlook for April 18, 2018 Solid earnings continue to present, Yemen missiles and API drawdowns in inventories have the indices we watch moving into higher resistance once again. These are all key levels of profit taking but there are no setups for short action at this time as…

Netflix Stock Outlook (NFLX): Cycles Point Higher Yet

Lights, camera, action – Netflix stock continues its move higher Netflix (NFLX) is trading higher on Tuesday, following flat earnings and better than expected growth in subscribers. Netflix reported earnings per share of $0.64 and total revenue of $3.7 billion, compared to analyst expectations of $0.64 and $3.69 billion. However,…

Trouble Brewing in the “SCANNZ Economies”

You’ve probably heard of the “BRIC Economies” – the kings of the new paradigm in emerging markets, and no doubt are sick of hearing about the “PIIGS Economies” – the Eurozone crisis culprits, but have you heard of the “SCANNZ Economies”? This grouping of: Sweden, Canada, Australia, Norway, and New…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook: Price Targets In View

Broad Stock Market Futures Outlook for April 17, 2018 Higher lows prevailed to give us higher highs as buyers push us into regions not seen since mid-March in solid earnings releases.  Resistance watches are still the order of the day as momentum holds bullish. How well we bounce off pullbacks will be the…

Macro Market Update: Rally On, But Headwinds Persist

Macro View While stocks may benefit in the near term from the perceived alleviation of geo-political uncertainties, this may yield to a more pronounced focus on the ability of companies to deliver on elevated earnings expectations. Consensus expectations have earnings rising 18% on reported basis in the first quarter (23%…