Investing Research

Options Trade Idea: $TLT Treasury ETF Credit Call Spread

Last Wednesday, iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT) got rejected at the underside of a broken trend line from March this year.  The intraday high of 128.23 in that session was hit well outside the daily upper Bollinger band. In the next session, the ETF dropped 0.8 percent (see…

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Options Trade Idea: $TLT Treasury ETF Credit Call Spread

Last Wednesday, iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT) got rejected at the underside of a broken trend line from March this year.  The intraday high of 128.23 in that session was hit well outside the daily upper Bollinger band. In the next session, the ETF dropped 0.8 percent (see…

Has Global Stock Market Volatility Bottomed?

Globally stock market volatility is low. For that matter, both implied and realized volatility is low across the major asset classes (see video at end of article). But aside from a vague notion or rule of thumb that low volatility is a predictor of future higher volatility and visa versa, it’s worth…

Stock Market Trends Review & Outlook – Week 50

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes recovered from another brief pullback attempt last week and remain in up-trends. Market strength is persisting for longer than most traders have anticipated. This is why the best thing for traders to do is follow the price action and steer clear of…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For December 11

Stock Market Trading Considerations December 11, 2017 The S&P 500 is testing upside resistance in an effort to breakout to new all-time highs. But a tricky short-term bearish pattern may slow its advance. In the commentary below I break down the trading setups for S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures indices…

Stocks Reach New Highs, But Risk Continues to Loom

S&P 500 Ticks Higher, but Market Risks Loom Stocks continue to show strength in the face of bearish market cycle forces. Last week saw another hiccup, but bears couldn’t capitalize on the pullback. Let’s see what this week holds. Stock Market Summary and Weekly Cycle Forecast: The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY)…

5 Global Macro Investing Themes I’m Watching – December 10

Stocks continue to push higher, as the investors begin to jump on the market train (see: investor sentiment data). But amidst a dizzying news cycle and non-stop social media, it’s difficult to find appropriate perspective. With this in mind, I think it’s always a good idea for investors to “ground”…

Household Stock Ownership At Highest Level Since 2000

The percentage households’  financial assets currently invested in stocks has jumped to levels exceeded only by the 2000 bubble. Updating one of our favorite data series from the Federal Reserve’s latest Z.1 Release, we see that in the 3rd quarter, household and nonprofit’s stock holdings jumped to 36.3% of their…

S&P 500 Trading Outlook: Bears Drop The Ball Again

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  BULLISH The S&P 500’s (SPX) ability to rally and close back above 2633 yesterday energized today’s follow through gains. The latest move higher is constructive and should stabilize the broader market for a potential santa rally. As it stands, the market is poised to test…

Global Stock Market Showing Signs Of Pulling Back

We’re starting to see hints of a global pullback for the first time all year. This week, we saw Emerging Markets (NYSEARCA:EEM) make a lower low and confirm a key trend break of the year long uptrend. Emerging Market ETF (EEM) Chart The All Country World Index ex-US (NASDAQ:ACWI) is…