Investing Research

The COT Report: Equity Bulls Show Their Horns

The following are charts and data showing non-commercial futures trading positions as of October 17, 2017. This data was released with the October 20 Commitment of Traders Report (COT). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The charts below looks at non-commercial futures trading positions for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and VIX Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX)….

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The COT Report: Equity Bulls Show Their Horns

The following are charts and data showing non-commercial futures trading positions as of October 17, 2017. This data was released with the October 20 Commitment of Traders Report (COT). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The charts below looks at non-commercial futures trading positions for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and VIX Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX)….

Global Equity Market Review: 1 Year After The Election

It has been anything but a wild ride since the election of Donald Trump nearly 1 year ago. If we take a step back and review the sentiment in the equity markets this time a year ago, the reader would see pessimism and some volatility (both personal and market related)….

U.S. Equities Outlook: Indicators Lean Bullish Into Year End

The Weight of Evidence Offers Bullish Message For S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Into Year-End Highlights: Central Bank Patience Could Be Tested Global Economy Providing Upside Surprises Seasonal Patterns Argue For Fourth Quarter Strength Market Breadth Trends Show Improved Rally Participation Improving seasonal patterns have shifted the overall weight of the evidence from…

Stock Market Update & Weekly Trend Outlook – Week 43

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes moved higher yet again last week and remain in strong uptrends. Although we are overbought and overdue for a pullback, the best thing for traders to do is follow the price action and avoid getting caught up in the noise and anticipating…

Around the World: 5 Macro Themes I’m Watching

With stocks pushing higher and the world on edge politically, there’s a lot of news / noise out there. So it’s always a good idea for investors to “ground” themselves in some macro themes and considerations that are present in the marketplace. Here’s a look at 5 themes I’m watching…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For October 23

Stock Market Futures Trading Considerations For October 23, 2017 The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and Nasdaq (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) are inching higher on Monday morning following Friday’s continuation. The trend is bullish but expect intraday pullbacks. See our key trading levels for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and crude oil below. Check out today’s economic…

U.S. Energy Trade Deficit Nears Zero As Options Expand

This US energy update was power by data from my firm Avory Research. The chart highlights the shrinking energy trade deficit, the drop in solar prices, and the increase of total US crude production. The US energy trade deficit is nearing zero as U.S. production of crude oil, coupled with…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Into Thin Air

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Watching for signs of price reversals from gains on Friday and into Monday. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) held where they needed to Thursday morning allowing for another rally to take shape. The budget resolution pass resulted in treasury yields spiking while S&P 500 futures (ES)…

Chart Spotlight: S&P 100 Index (OEX) At Major Price Resistance

The S&P 100 Index (INDEXSP:SP100) touched its Yearly Yr2 Pivot around 1133 on Wednesday… and its testing it yet again today (at the time of this writing, it’s at 1133.40). What’s so special about the Yearly Yr2 pivot? Well, it usually produces a market pullback or correction. For more on…

Trading Day Classifications and the Prospects for a Year-End Rally

Much is made regarding price action and day type classification. To keep things simple, let’s consider four possible day type classifications for this article. We can have: Inside range Outside range Up range Down range These are all pretty self-explanatory and are simply defined by comparing the current day’s (or…