Investing Research

Global Trade: Volume Trends Continue To Show Growth

Since the global synchronized economic rebound that got underway in the middle of last year, one key standout and something I’ve been bullish on is the rebound in global trade growth. Today I want to highlight a couple of charts that put this into context, both looking at global trade volume trends. As…

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Global Trade: Volume Trends Continue To Show Growth

Since the global synchronized economic rebound that got underway in the middle of last year, one key standout and something I’ve been bullish on is the rebound in global trade growth. Today I want to highlight a couple of charts that put this into context, both looking at global trade volume trends. As…

S&P 500 Technical Update: Higher Into Early June

S&P 500 Index (2-3 Days):   BULLISH The rally looks to be nearing an end given more volume in declining vs advancing, and poor breadth on the latest breakout. That said, the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) should still be able to reach 2425 up to 2435 before ending.  Stay long and look…

Nasdaq Composite: Why 6200 Could Bring A Market Top

The Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) has been on fire, providing market leadership for much of the way higher off the 2009 lows. And the Nazzie’s latest move higher has been a vertical ascent.  Picking market tops is a risky game… however, knowing where a top may begin to form is important…

S&P 500 Sector Review & Short Interest Update

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the May 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors.   SPDR S&P Materials ETF  (NYSEARCA:XLB) Support at 51-plus was defended yet again on May 18.  At the same time, bulls are having trouble in genuinely rallying XLB (52.89)…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For May 25

Stock Market Futures Considerations For May 25, 2017, to May 26, 2017 The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) is pushing new highs but a divergence is building once more. Higher is likely but traders need to stay focused. Check out today’s economic calendar with a full rundown of releases.  And note that the charts…

Inside The New Bull Market In Index Strategies

Summary:  Investors are clearly shifting away from actively managed funds to those based on index strategies. Only time will tell, but this has the look of a durable, secular change in investment management. That said, much of the perceived threat to market stability of indexing is overblown. Overall, the stock…

S&P 500 Update: Nagging Concerns, But New Highs Likely

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  BULLISH Now that S&P 500 has eclipsed 2396, we have filled the gap while many sectors are on the verge of breakouts, including the Industrials (NYSEARCA:XLI). Over 2404 will drive the S&P 500 futures to 2425-35. And given the pattern since early March, its…

S&P 500 In Stare-Down With Defensive Stocks Like Consumer Staples

Short-Term Outlook Remains A Mixed Bag While the primary trend still strongly favors the bulls, the bears have made some progress on the momentum and vulnerability fronts. The chart below shows the performance of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) relative to defensive-oriented SPDR Consumer Staples Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLP). From…

Active vs Passive Investing: Success Drivers

This post was written with Craig Basinger of Richardson GMP. It was the best of times, it was the worst of times – Charles Dickens penned so many years ago. Well, for active managers this appears to be the worst of times based on the S&P SPIVA reports and fund…