Bonds

Bond Market Update: Glimpses Of A Maturing Business Cycle?

Lots of talking heads are pointing to a lower yield curve as a warning sign. While the yield curve is relatively good indicator for the business cycle, a compressed (or even inverted) yield curve isn’t an immediate signal for bears. It need to find confirmation in other data. Today we’ll…

Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Chart: Something For Bulls & Bears

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) is rallying off key lateral price support. This bounce has neutralized the immediate bearish case… but it could still play into a bearish head and shoulders topping pattern. Time to take a closer look at the chart. Bond Bulls: On the daily chart…

Maturity Creep – A Key Trend For Global Bond Investors

I was looking through some statistics on the global government bond markets, specifically the Thomson Reuters Government Bond Indexes. A couple of key metrics and trends struck me as a big shift in the risk and return make up of global government bond markets has taken place. The chart of…

Gold Chart Spotlight: Bulls On The Ropes…

iShares Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD) Analysis & Outlook: Our steadfast bearishness toward the yellow metal, even as the world turned bullish, is paying off. Gold prices (GLD) are sitting slightly below the key 123 level and I’d like to see additional weakness (2% below 123 – we’re almost there) to confirm…

Treasury Bonds Rally Nears Key Price Resistance Area

In my last update on the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) and broader bond market, I highlighted the case for a deeply oversold market and targeted areas to go long and  ‘expect’ a rally. Here’s a link to that article:  Long Duration Treasury Bonds Are Deeply Oversold The TLT…

Key Inflation Gauge Testing Merits Of Reflation Theme

Back in June, we took a look at a key inflation gauge and pointed out why the reflation theme wasn’t quite ready for primetime just yet. The inflation gauge that I like to follow is a ratio of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities ETF (NYSEARCA:TIP) to the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF…

Chart Spotlight: U.S. Treasury Yields Under Pressure

As many of you know, I like to share charts that on trend lines. Whether price is testing, retesting, breaking out, or breaking down through a trend line, there’s a lot to be gleaned from them. Further, the 30 Year U.S. Treasury Yield (INDEXCBOE:TYX) is attempting to break through its…

S&P 500 Weekly Market Outlook: Momentum Wavering

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup and trends of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), check in on investor sentiment and market breadth indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending August…

Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) Runs Into Key Price Resistance

A couple weeks ago, I wrote that I was looking for a bond market rally to short. Particularly on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). Well, that treasury bond rally came.  And an opportunity for savvy traders may be presenting itself. Looking at the chart below, you can…