Bonds

Treasury Bonds Update: Mapping The Possibilities In Early 2017

Back in mid-December, I provided a ‘heads up’ that the bonds were oversold and that active investors should expect a bounce. The levels highlighted in that post worked and treasury bonds (NASDAQ:TLT) are currently in the midst of a bounce. Right now, I believe there is more work to be done on…

Why I Warmed Up To US Treasuries

During the summer, I put out a lot of very bearish commentary about the Treasury market. There were numerous technical reasons for the call. In addition, and I know it seems so long ago, was this almost universal opinion that yields on the long end of the curve were going to…

Weekly Stock Market Outlook: Optimism Running High

Weekly Market Outlook & Technical Review January 13th In this research note, we will look at some key stock market indicators, the health of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), and a handful of emerging themes that we are watching in our investing research: Stock Rally Has Stalled – The S&P 500…

Stocks vs Bonds: The Most Interesting Chart Right Now

The most interesting chart in the world right now is the stocks versus bonds ratio chart. Check out the chart below. Here we are simply measuring the ratio of the S&P 500 SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) versus the iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). The ratio is approaching the 2007 peak,…

5 Charts For Investors: Around The Global Financial Markets

I’m back with another set of 5 macro technical charts to watch as we move further into the near year (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at technical price developments.  And even if you’re not technical analysis minded…

The State Of The Global Financial Markets In 5 Charts

I’m back with another set of 5 macro technical charts to watch (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review strictly looks at technical price developments.  Even if you’re not technical analysis minded it’s a useful way to keep on top of…

5 Charts Investors Need To Watch During Fed Week

Here’s the regular 5 macro technical charts (going as far as individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and sectors, as well as the rest of the major indexes and benchmarks).  This commentary is strictly focused on the technical/price developments (albeit we will typically cover the broader case in the Weekly Macro Themes…

TLT Update: Long Duration Treasury Bonds Deeply Oversold

Back in July, I issued a warning about the Treasury Bonds market nearing a major high. Specifically, I focused on the 20+ Year Treasury Bonds ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). Here’s an excerpt from that post (after showing 145 as a major price target): I try not to pay attention to outside fundamental/news items…

Treasury Bond Yields Gone Wild: Is The Inflation Trade On?

The past few weeks have flipped the script on the treasury bond market, as bond yields (interest rates) have soared higher. Are market participants leery of inflation.  Will the Federal Reserve start a new rate hike cycle? Is it something else? The charts have yet to confirm that a new…