Last September, we showed the support area where we expected long-term yields to begin a possible reversal. Soon afterward, the index rallied from the zone and broke through initial resistance, but it has spent most of 2017 until now in a corrective retracement. Now it appears that rates may be…
Today, I’m going to take an extended look at treasuries, as I think we are getting closer to another major turn to the downside. I’ll primarily focus on the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), but will also reference the 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield (INDEXCBOE:TNX). See charts below for reference….
Traders returned on Wednesday to see fractional gains in across the various global equites markets. Domestically, trends remain very much neutral for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). Deteriorating sectors like Technology have not had much effect on the S&P 500 thus far… this likely due in part to Financials breaking out…
The iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) may be tracing out a bearish wedge formation which is many times an ending pattern. Let’s look at the chart (below) and discuss some considerations for Treasuries. So far, price has only been able to fill in the bottom part of the open…
Trading the next move in U.S. Treasuries Last year, U.S. treasury bonds and the related ETF (TLT) began falling away from what we had long been treating as the completion of an ending diagonal pattern within the context of elliott wave. The decline was fairly abrupt until price approached the…
As the economy shows signs of life, and the Federal Reserve hints at raising interest rates, market participants continue to debate whether or not inflation is, or will be, a factor. So is inflation right around the corner? One primary indicator of inflation that I follow is saying “not so fast?. The…
There are several popular indicators that investors use to gauge the health of the stock market. One that I like to follow is the SPDR Junk Bonds ETF (NYSEARCA:JNK). This index provides insight into the current appetite of investors (i.e. “risk-on” or “risk-off”). For instance, stocks and the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) typically do…
Treasury bonds have underperformed other major asset classes since topping last summer. But the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) may be finding some footing. That is, IF the chart pattern show below is confirmed. I shared the chart below last Wednesday. And, as you can see, bonds (via TLT) are…
The 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) finally broke out of a double bottom reversal formation. The move was accompanied by a bullish breakout in momentum (14-day RSI). This development should lead to further upside for the treasury bonds ETF. I’m looking for this move to run up to 125 to…
Market trends and rotation occur in both localized (domestic) and global markets. With this in mind, it’s important to understand that we have many investment choices across the globe… and within our own given markets that we tend to follow. Additionally, many of these markets can be used as indicators…