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Why We Should Anticipate More Inflation

The PCE Price Index Excluding Food and Energy, also known as the core PCE price index, makes it easier to see the underlying inflation...
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NYSE Composite Highlights Painful Bear Market For Investors!

Earlier this week, we highlighted how the NYSE Composite was breaking to new lows. Well, this week we are seeing follow-through selling. This is a...
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September Market Insights, Stock Calls, and a Look Ahead

As we move into October soon, I wanted to take a moment to highlight some of my recent daily columns from September.  On September 13,...
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Tech Stocks Leadership Reaches Important Trend Line Support!

Today we revisit an incredibly important stock market ratio: The Semiconductors Sector $SMH versus the S&P 500 $SPY. This ratio highlights how an important...
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Is Surge In Bond Yields a Case of Too Far, Too Fast?

One major theme of 2022 is the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to squash inflation. Case in point, the Fed raised rates another 75...
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Gold Bulls Don’t Want To See A Breakdown Here!

Inflation is at its highest level in several decades and precious metals bulls are patiently waiting for a big win. Geopolitical concerns are also rising...
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Corn and Wheat Prices Likely To Head Higher Yet

Looking at grocery bills and restaurant bills and it's obvious that food prices have risen dramatically (along side wages). Inflation has been around for several...

Tail Risk and Persistent Inflation

Tail risk is the danger that asset prices move significantly more than what is considered normal. Given the lasting financial toll often caused by...
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The Fed’s Soft Landing, FedEx’s distress signal, and the Threat of a Deep Recession

According to the last week’s economic data inflation continues to surprise upside whereas the economy continues to surprise downside. Nevertheless, the recession hasn’t come yet, but the...
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S&P 500 Index Trading Update: Downside Price Targets

We continue to believe that the S&P 500 Index will undercut the June price low. We think investors should be careful here and not...

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