Investing Research

Unusual Credit Indicator Reports Big Drop In Demand

As I was going through and updating the various indicators that I monitor something in the credit space surprised me. The NACM CMI (think of this as the credit manager’s version of the ISM PMI), saw a major drop in a number of its key sub-indexes in the December report. The chart…

Crude Oil: Large Speculators Most Net Long Ever

The following chart and data highlight non-commercial commodity futures trading positions as of January 9, 2017. This data was released with the January 12 COT Report (Commitment of Traders). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The chart below look at non-commercial futures trading positions for crude oil. For the week,…

Is CAPE Valuation Indicator Portending Bad Things For Stocks?

In this week’s market video, we analyze Shiller’s PE, or the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio (CAPE). Stock valuation measures are generally poor indicators for market timing.  Just take a look at a chart of the standard Price to Earnings ratio.   Standard Price to Earnings (PE) Ratio Chart So how…

Stock Market Weekend Update: Near-Term Concerns Bubble Up

The market has been very strong to start 2018 but there are a few near-term concerns bubbling up. Investor sentiment has become overheated, the broader stock market is overbought, and the Russell 2000 and small cap stocks are still lagging. Key Takeaways: Small-caps are trending higher and making new highs,…

Utilities Sector ETF (XLU) Looks Ready To Bounce

The Utilities Sector ETF (XLU) has been in a pretty good correction over the past several weeks. Could that be coming to an end?  At least from a short-term trading perspective? Looking at the chart below, you can see that the Utilities ETF (XLU) is holding above its 61.8% Fibonacci…

Russell 2000 Spotlight: Small Cap Stocks Outperforming

The Russell 2000 and small (and micro) cap stocks have been outperforming of late. This pick up in near-term strength bodes well for small caps over the coming week, but it should be noted that the broader indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are nearing exhaustion….

Market Seasonality Composite Charts For Stocks & Bonds

Earlier this week, I shared some stock market seasonality charts on my research blog and Twitter feed.  I’d like to highlight a couple of those right here on See It Market. The charts below look back over the past 27 years (1990-2017) and put together a composite yearly seasonality chart….

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook For January 11

Stock market futures are pushing slightly higher in early trade as buyers continue to show demand. That said, we are at a juncture that requires discipline and focus from traders. See today’s trading commentary and price levels below. S&P 500 Futures BUYERS ARE IN CLEAR CONTROL AS CHARTS PRESS HIGHER….

Economic Spotlight: Rising Oil Prices & Treasury Yields Concerning

CONSUMER WATCH: Below I present a chart showing a potentially deadly duo for the economy and consumers… At least if the current trend doesn’t slow. The chart below looks at the average rise in Crude Oil prices and 10 Year Treasury Yields plotted against US recessions. A combined average rise…

A Real Gauge For Investment Benchmarking & Wealth Building

The New England Patriots are the winningest professional football team of the new millennia. While we could post a long list of reasons for their success, there is one that stands above the rest. In a recent interview, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady stated that they start each year with one…