Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
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Crude Oil Trading Update: Bulls Need To Be Patient

West Texas Crude Oil (WTI) is currently marching back towards that $50 level… And with the recent bounce, has seen a failed breakdown. I have seen some positive developments, but Crude will have to over take some overhead supply if bulls want to play ball. As you can see in…

S&P 500 Update: Navigating The Choppy Price Action

The choppy price action on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) continues… Prices reversed higher today following a rough week that saw the index close on its lows. So is a bottom near? Here are a few things that I am watching: 1.  MACD / RSI / 50 DMA A couple of…

Treasury Bonds Chart Update (TLT): Fibonacci Price Targets

The 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) finally broke out of a double bottom reversal formation. The move was accompanied by a bullish breakout in momentum (14-day RSI). This development should lead to further upside for the treasury bonds ETF. I’m looking for this move to run up to 125 to…

Treasury Bonds Update (TLT): Bulls Eyeing Key Resistance

The 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) is attempting to breakout here. But it’s worth noting that this is the fourth attempt to take out the 2017 highs. Needless to say, this area of price resistance has become pretty clear cut. So what happens in the coming days will likely bear importance on the…

S&P 500 Weekend Update: Investor Sentiment Undergoing Reset

With the massive losses suffered (just kidding) during this pullback, I have seen some reprieve in many of the investor sentiment indicators I monitor. At it’s March lows, the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) was down 3.3%. It’s currently off just 1.6%. A big part of the reason that I have been looking…

Crude Oil Likely To Rally Before Heading Lower Once More

Where Is Crude Oil Headed? West Texas Crude Oil (WTI) is currently sitting near $47.85/barrel, and continues to waffle around its 200-day average near $48.75.  I took some profits on my “short” crude oil position (via the short crude oil ETF, NYSEARCA:SCO) as I’m still looking for a bounce toward…

S&P 500 Chart Update: Price Targets For This Pullback

Well, investors finally received a pullback across the broader stock market indices. It’s still too early to tell how deep the decline will run, but for now the indices are pausing/holding near key short-term support. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is trading around 3 percent off its highs but some headwinds remain……

Post-Fed Day Market Update: Stocks & Bonds Holding Support

I do not like to get too excited on FED days when the stock market rallies. These Federal Reserve inspired rallies have a way of reversing themselves. We will see if this move brings something different. The below chart is a 2 hour of the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) with the…

Gold Trading Update: Eyeing Bonds & The U.S. Dollar

The trading setup for gold is very interesting here. At this point, there are a lot of “ifs” for this trade working out. The COT data for gold is only slightly bullish. Yet intermarket analysis looks promising:  If yields are topping here (bond prices bottoming), and the US dollar rolls over…