Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
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Gold Update: January Pullback May Be Short-Lived

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD) experienced a small pullback intra-week, taking cues from treasuries – I’ve noted before that the price action for gold has been closely tied to the action in the treasury market. I provided an update here last week on the $TLT (20+ year treasury bond ETF). But back to…

Why I Warmed Up To US Treasuries

During the summer, I put out a lot of very bearish commentary about the Treasury market. There were numerous technical reasons for the call. In addition, and I know it seems so long ago, was this almost universal opinion that yields on the long end of the curve were going to…

Stock Market Update: When ‘Group Think’ Takes Over…

I’ve seen the phrase group think a couple of times lately as an apt description of today’s stock market. Group think, herd mentality, it’s all the same. Did you ever watch sheep or cows in a pen? They tend to move around together. Remember, if we all sit on the…

2017 Market Outlook: A Look At Key Sectors And Asset Classes

MEAN REVERSION – FINALLY! It looks like investors finally got it through there heads that many assets were stretched too far, and that some unwinding of the election trade was due. Here is what I see for the first half of 2017: S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX):  Short term bearish, potential…

Why Crude Oil Prices May See A Swing Low In Early 2017

Crude Oil has seen some wide swings in 2016, with the latest one to the upside. There are some very interesting dynamics present on the charts, so I thought we’d discuss in depth today. First off, its hard to argue that the price chart is bearish. Crude oil is trying…

S&P 500 Update: The Bull Market Stampede Continues

Stock Market Weekly Update: The Stampede Continues I have been looking for the proverbial mean reversion trade to take hold. And while on the one hand, there has been a little of that, the indices that I thought would take a breather keep storming higher. And the broad S&P 500…

Stock Market Update: A November To Remember

What a month for investors! November 2016 was a month that most of us will not forget. And I’m not talking about politics, but returns in many different asset classes. I generally do not recite returns or other general information that is already thrown around by plenty other analysts and…

S&P 500 Update: This Bull Is Strong But A Pullback Is Nigh

Despite all the hoopla and fireworks, the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has only seen a minor break to new highs. In fact, I wouldn’t even call it a breakout yet as I’d like to see the prior high exceeded by 1% for two consecutive days. The prior high was 2193.81…

Russell 2000 Rally Stretched: Time For A Pullback

We’ve seen a pretty ridiculous move in small caps, as measured by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA:IWM). The Russell 2000 rally has helped to push the major stock market indices to new all-time highs… but it’s getting pretty stretched out. Price is in desperate need of a slope reset as…

A Look At The Gold (GLD), T-Bonds, Dollar Market Triangle

Over the past year, there’s been a very interesting relationship between the Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD), the U.S. Dollar (NYSEARCA:UUP), and Treasury Bonds (NASDAQ:TLT). I’ve talked about this relationship (and chart below) many times in my newsletter. There has been a relentless push into the US Dollar (via UUP below) and out…