Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
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WTI Crude Oil Trading Outlook Turns Bearish

After poking its head above the $50 level for the first time since May, West Texas Crude Oil (WTI) is backing off a bit. Is there more downside ahead? Currently, Crude Oil is oscillating near its 200-day average, and I am looking for a top in and around this area….

S&P 500 Weekly Update: Some Short-Term Kinks

In the past week, there have been some warning signs for the stock market, but just in the short term. Longer-term, other than reaching some measured move price targets, potential fifth wave completions, and some frothy sentiment numbers, I still am fighting that we are near the end of the…

3 Stock Market Charts Signaling Near-Term Caution

After reviewing the recent price action and several charts of key stock market indices, I’m taking a near-term cautious stance on the stock market. That is, until the following concerns resolve themselves. In particular, it appears that the small cap Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) and Mid- Cap Index ETF (NYSEARCA:MDY)…

Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) Runs Into Key Price Resistance

A couple weeks ago, I wrote that I was looking for a bond market rally to short. Particularly on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). Well, that treasury bond rally came.  And an opportunity for savvy traders may be presenting itself. Looking at the chart below, you can…

U.S. Treasury Bonds Update: Looking For A Rally To Short

Today, I’m going to take an extended look at treasuries, as I think we are getting closer to another major turn to the downside. I’ll primarily focus on the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), but will also reference the 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield (INDEXCBOE:TNX).  See charts below for reference….

Financial Sector ETF (XLF) Closing In On 2007 All-Time Highs

The Financial Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF) is still shaking off the stigma of the 2008-2009 collapse. It’s been nearly 10 years since it peaked… and it’s finally closing in on those all time highs again. And will likely surpass them some time soon. But that’s just the head line; savvy traders…

NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQ) Testing Key Price Support Area

The PowerShares Nasdaq 100 QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) and FANG stocks (Facebook Amazon Netflix Google) have been underperforming for weeks now. And the QQQ now finds itself sitting on top of an important confluence of price support. This will likely lead to a bounce, but discipline is advised here. This price…

Sector Update: Health Care and Biotech Stocks Hot

I recommended the Health Care Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLV) in my June 8th “On The Mark” newsletter, predicting a short-term move up to the 79/80 area. Today we’ll provide an update while looking at the red-hot biotech sector (NASDAQ:IBB) as well. XLV is now trading at 79.63 for a 3.8% gain in…

Treasury Bonds Chart Update (TLT): Bearish Wedge?

The iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) may be tracing out a bearish wedge formation which is many times an ending pattern. Let’s look at the chart (below) and discuss some considerations for Treasuries. So far, price has only been able to fill in the bottom part of the open…

Crude Oil Chart Spotlight: Black Gold Is Trading ‘Heavy’

WTI Crude Oil has broken another counter trend rally attempt and currently sits below $48/barrel. My recommendation to subscribers was to go short Oil last Thursday.  I personally too a short position in the inverse Crude Oil ETF (NYSEARCA:SCO).  Here’s why, and what I see going on in the chart (see…