Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
Follow On: Twitter | Google Plus

Crude Oil Technical Update: Market Bulls Face Hurdles

There’s been very little change in the outlook for crude oil over the past week. Fundamental and technical hurdles remain but from a price perspective, traders are awaiting a major “break” in either direction. Crude Oil Technical Picture West Texas crude oil (WTI) is trading just above $53 per barrel, as it…

Gold Chart Update: Bulls Look To Power Through Resistance

After a second wave higher in the 2017 rally, gold prices spent much of last week trading in consolidation mode. Although the backdrop is bullish, the shiny metal nears key price resistance. Gold Price Resistance The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEARCA:GLD) is sitting just under minor chart resistance near 118. And just…

Investor Sentiment Polls Study: Careful Using Indicators In Isolation

During the bull market of 2002 to 2007, I noticed something very interesting with respect to the American Association of Individual Investor’s (AAII) poll. The investor sentiment trend of this poll was getting more bearish as the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) rally and cyclical bull market aged. I said to myself, and…

S&P 500 Weekend Update: It’s Getting Awfully Noisy

Stock Market: A Lot of Noise Reading the newspaper headlines, watching the business (now political) channels, and reading social media posts, one would think the economy would be in a recession, stocks would be in a bear market, and the U.S. would be headed for World War 3. Long-time readers…

Gold Update: January Pullback May Be Short-Lived

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD) experienced a small pullback intra-week, taking cues from treasuries – I’ve noted before that the price action for gold has been closely tied to the action in the treasury market. I provided an update here last week on the $TLT (20+ year treasury bond ETF). But back to…

Why I Warmed Up To US Treasuries

During the summer, I put out a lot of very bearish commentary about the Treasury market. There were numerous technical reasons for the call. In addition, and I know it seems so long ago, was this almost universal opinion that yields on the long end of the curve were going to…

Stock Market Update: When ‘Group Think’ Takes Over…

I’ve seen the phrase group think a couple of times lately as an apt description of today’s stock market. Group think, herd mentality, it’s all the same. Did you ever watch sheep or cows in a pen? They tend to move around together. Remember, if we all sit on the…

2017 Market Outlook: A Look At Key Sectors And Asset Classes

MEAN REVERSION – FINALLY! It looks like investors finally got it through there heads that many assets were stretched too far, and that some unwinding of the election trade was due. Here is what I see for the first half of 2017: S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX):  Short term bearish, potential…

Why Crude Oil Prices May See A Swing Low In Early 2017

Crude Oil has seen some wide swings in 2016, with the latest one to the upside. There are some very interesting dynamics present on the charts, so I thought we’d discuss in depth today. First off, its hard to argue that the price chart is bearish. Crude oil is trying…

S&P 500 Update: The Bull Market Stampede Continues

Stock Market Weekly Update: The Stampede Continues I have been looking for the proverbial mean reversion trade to take hold. And while on the one hand, there has been a little of that, the indices that I thought would take a breather keep storming higher. And the broad S&P 500…