Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter

Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled “On The Mark” focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.


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U.S. Treasury Bonds Update: Looking For A Rally To Short

Today, I’m going to take an extended look at treasuries, as I think we are getting closer to another major turn to the downside. I’ll primarily focus on the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), but will also reference the 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield (INDEXCBOE:TNX).  See charts below for reference….

Financial Sector ETF (XLF) Closing In On 2007 All-Time Highs

The Financial Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF) is still shaking off the stigma of the 2008-2009 collapse. It’s been nearly 10 years since it peaked… and it’s finally closing in on those all time highs again. And will likely surpass them some time soon. But that’s just the head line; savvy traders…

NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQ) Testing Key Price Support Area

The PowerShares Nasdaq 100 QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) and FANG stocks (Facebook Amazon Netflix Google) have been underperforming for weeks now. And the QQQ now finds itself sitting on top of an important confluence of price support. This will likely lead to a bounce, but discipline is advised here. This price…

Sector Update: Health Care and Biotech Stocks Hot

I recommended the Health Care Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLV) in my June 8th “On The Mark” newsletter, predicting a short-term move up to the 79/80 area. Today we’ll provide an update while looking at the red-hot biotech sector (NASDAQ:IBB) as well. XLV is now trading at 79.63 for a 3.8% gain in…

Treasury Bonds Chart Update (TLT): Bearish Wedge?

The iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) may be tracing out a bearish wedge formation which is many times an ending pattern. Let’s look at the chart (below) and discuss some considerations for Treasuries. So far, price has only been able to fill in the bottom part of the open…

Crude Oil Chart Spotlight: Black Gold Is Trading ‘Heavy’

WTI Crude Oil has broken another counter trend rally attempt and currently sits below $48/barrel. My recommendation to subscribers was to go short Oil last Thursday.  I personally too a short position in the inverse Crude Oil ETF (NYSEARCA:SCO).  Here’s why, and what I see going on in the chart (see…

3 Reasons Why I’m Neutral On Gold Prices

The iShares Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD) continues to oscillate around its flattish 200-day average, frustrating bulls and bear alike. Gold prices and the Gold ETF (GLD) are most likely being held hostage by the action in Treasuries and the U.S. Dollar. Treasuries via TLT (NASDAQ:TLT) have rebounded after what looked like a false…

What Major Stock Market Tops Look Like

Stock Market: Markets Don’t Peak Quietly   Over the past few weeks in my newsletter, “On The Mark,” I discussed some things that generally occur at major stock market tops. Here is a brief synopsis. Major stock market tops are generally accompanied by lengthy divergences with respect to market internals and longer-term…

S&P 500 Chart Update: Is A Deeper Pullback Underway?

Yesterday’s whoosh doused some water on the near-term prospects for a bullish breakout on the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX). I was leaning toward an upside resolution to the current trading range, but that’s not in the cards. It’s possible that the larger stock market pullback I had been looking for…

Gold (GLD) Trading Update: Failed Breakout Creates Headwind

The iShares Gold Trust (GLD) breakout failed and its price is back below the flattish 200-day average. This is not all that surprising, though. And this has to do with the failed breakout in Treasuries (NASDAQ:TLT). The two asset classes remain highly correlated. Gold prices via GLD remain above the March…