Tag "s&p 500"

2017 vs 2000: Are Equities Really In A Bubble?

Bubbles Are Characterized By Building Euphoria During investment bubbles, the gains over the years reach near-silly levels. For example, the last 17 years of the dot-com bubble featured an 1,800% rise in the NASDAQ Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC)  – see the first chart below. With an 1,800% on the books, some investors…

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Investors Look For New Leadership

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), key stock market trends and indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending June 23, 2017: Looking for New…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Can Bulls Push Stocks Higher Yet?

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Bullish The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has held the midpoint of its daily Bollinger Bands, an area that also held as support back on June 15th. With prices literally unchanged since the market close on June 2nd, the trend has been literally been neutral…

How Does 2017 Compare To Stock Market Peaks In 2000 And 2007?

2000 Dot-Com Market Peak: The 200-Day Moving Average Was Helpful “I think one of the secrets to trading success is cutting down the number of trades you make.” –  Michael Marcus, Market Wizards A market’s 200-day moving average (thin red line in charts below) can assist in monitoring investors’ net…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Targeting New Highs Into Next Week

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days): Bullish Yesterday’s pullback on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) failed to do much technical damage. I believe it’s still right to remain long here, expecting a move up into Expiration and/or early next week to 2455 (low end) / 2475 (high end). Until prices move…

Stocks Expected to Consolidate Strong First-Half Performance

The stock market pushed forward last week in a performance that made more headlines, but can best be described as mixed. And this week is seeing more of the same, with a big start Monday that gave back gains today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) and S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX)…

Fed Funds Sweet-Spot Indicator Still A Tailwind For Stocks

Whether it’s “3 steps and a stumble” or just the fact that the Federal Reserve is thinking and talking about going from QE to QT, there is a growing sense that ‘policy normalization’ is increasing downside risk for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). But as I talked about previously, the Fed Funds…

Is The VIX Volatility Index Signaling Caution Here?

I’ve had a great response to my Dow Award paper, Forecasting a Volatility Tsunami, with it being downloaded over 3,000 times since April. I really appreciate the support and the positive feedback I’ve received so far. Last week I had the opportunity to do a webcast with the Market Technicians…

Are Investors Staring A Generational Opportunity In The Eye?

We Tend To Make The Same Mistakes Over And Over If you are perplexed by the post-election strength in U.S. stocks, it may be helpful to take a giant step back. From The Wall Street Journal: Many of the financial mistakes people make are caused by a fundamental shortcoming: They can’t…