Tag "s&p 500"

Investing Strategy Outlook: Evidence Remains Bullish Into 2Q

Evidence Bullish As Stocks And Broader S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Consolidate Gains A look at 2Q and beyond for investors. Highlights: Federal Reserve Raises Rates Despite Elevated Uncertainty Economic Recovery Not Just ‘Animal Spirits’ Investor Optimism Retreating From Recent Excesses Rally Participation Remains Broad, At Home & Overseas Longer-term breadth and…

S&P 500 Technical Trading Update and Outlook – March 24

S&P 500 Futures: (2-3 Days) Bearish Heading into the last day of the week, the short-term trend for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) remains down. A bounce is occurring across the stock market indices but it has thus far failed to make enough progress to think lows are in place. Until futures prices can…

S&P 500 Chart Update: Price Targets For This Pullback

Well, investors finally received a pullback across the broader stock market indices. It’s still too early to tell how deep the decline will run, but for now the indices are pausing/holding near key short-term support. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is trading around 3 percent off its highs but some headwinds remain……

Are Bonds Flashing A Warning Sign For Stocks?

What Does Fear Look Like? Typically, when markets move into a long-term risk-off phase, the conviction to own defensive-oriented bonds begins to increase relative to the conviction to own growth-oriented stocks. Since a picture is worth a thousand words, the chart below shows trends in bonds (20+ Year Treasury Bond…

Investor Optimism Fades From Peak: Are Stocks Vulnerable?

The rally in the equity markets stalled last week with the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) basically flat for the period while the NASDAQ (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) showed a fractional gain. The relatively weak performance was surprising given that stocks had good support from economic data that included a report showing…

U.S. Equities Short-Term Technical Outlook – March 20

Most of the world stock market indexes are fractionally today, including the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). German and Italian bond yields are slightly higher, while the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) is largely unchanged vs most of the Majors. Equities have failed to show the kind of upside continuation that was thought to…

Interest Rate Hikes Don’t Matter Until They Do…

Well it looks like the Fed’s rate hiking cycle is finally underway in earnest this time, with the March hike making the chart of interest rates look a little more familiar to the previous 2 hiking cycles, rather than the 1997 one-and-done hike. I previously highlighted a rule of thumb…

Top Trading Links: Budgets, Bulls, And Divergences

Top Trading Links – March 18 It was a choppy week for U.S. equities, as the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) bounced around on the Fed before settling up +0.25%. But as the U.S. stock market tries to continue higher, it may contend with a glaring RSI divergence (if we see new highs…

Global Markets Update: Demographics May Hurt Future Returns

Equity markets continue to move higher on the hopes of fiscal stimulus in the U.S. But the pressure is on… Analysts are increasingly divided into bearish and bullish camps, as the politicians must now deliver on their promises to avoid disappointing the stock market. Stocks & Bonds Looking at the…

Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Stocks?

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was just released by none other than the University of Michigan. The reading continues to give us a good gauge into the psychology of the consumer. This remains an important factor as the consumer makes up nearly three quarters of the United States gross domestic…