Tag "bond yields"

U.S. Equities Short-Term Technical Outlook – March 20

Most of the world stock market indexes are fractionally today, including the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). German and Italian bond yields are slightly higher, while the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) is largely unchanged vs most of the Majors. Equities have failed to show the kind of upside continuation that was thought to…

Treasury Bond Yields Near Lowest Levels Since November

The stock market’s 2017 advance slowed last week with the blue-chip averages gaining less than 1.00% while the rally in small- and mid-cap averages stalled. Nevertheless, the performance year-to-date continues to surprise on the upside. And the latest bump may be aided by lower treasury bond yields (INDEXCBOE:TNX). The equity…

German Bunds, US Treasuries: Yields Approaching Support

The bonds complex may be setting up for a near-term reversal of sorts. The charts below show the potential for a near-term low in yields and possible ensuing move higher. Let’s look at German Bunds and US Treasuries. GERMAN BUND YIELDS I suspect that the combination of both TD buy…

Why I Warmed Up To US Treasuries

During the summer, I put out a lot of very bearish commentary about the Treasury market. There were numerous technical reasons for the call. In addition, and I know it seems so long ago, was this almost universal opinion that yields on the long end of the curve were going to…

Top Trading Links: Trends, Themes, And Bond Dreams

It was a quiet week for stocks. The S&P 500 Index () and the Nasdaq Composite were pretty much flat, while the Dow Jones gained a 0.5% and the Russell 2000 fell 1.7%. Clearly, any profit taking occurred with higher beta small caps. Some back and filling may be in…

Portfolio Adjustments In Light Of Trump Election

The Election Earthquake “Trump’s election is the biggest political earthquake in the United States since the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980”, says Jim Rickards. Whether you are a republican, democrat or an independent, this election is one that I think we will all remember the rest of our lives….

Treasury Bonds ETF (TLT) At Record Drawdown Levels

To say the bond market is suffering right now would be an understatement. We are seeing just about record everything. And depending on your timeframe, we’re also seeing near record drawdowns on treasury bonds. Let’s review some facts and figures in the world of treasury bonds. November was the worst…

Treasury Bond Yields Gone Wild: Is The Inflation Trade On?

The past few weeks have flipped the script on the treasury bond market, as bond yields (interest rates) have soared higher. Are market participants leery of inflation.  Will the Federal Reserve start a new rate hike cycle? Is it something else? The charts have yet to confirm that a new…

Is The Copper Rally Trying To Tell Investors Something?

Copper prices have been surging in November. But despite the sharp rally, Doc Copper isn’t getting the attention it deserves. That may be for a good reason, though. Copper prices have attempted (and failed) to break out of the 5-year downtrend channel several times (see chart below). Could this time…