Tag "10 year treasury note"

S&P 500 Weekly Technical Perspective – March 27

Note that this is an excerpt from Mark’s premium research at Newton Advisors. The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) monthly chart below shows that US markets could possibly experience their first down month of the year after pulling back 0.83% over the first few weeks of March. There are just five trading days remaining….

U.S. Equities Short-Term Technical Outlook – March 20

Most of the world stock market indexes are fractionally today, including the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). German and Italian bond yields are slightly higher, while the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) is largely unchanged vs most of the Majors. Equities have failed to show the kind of upside continuation that was thought to…

The Lowest Common Denominator: Debt

At a recent investment conference, hedge fund billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller predicted that interest rates would continue rising. Specifically, he suggested that, consistent with the prospects for economic growth, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could reach 6.00% over the next couple of years. Druckenmiller’s track record lends credence to his economic…

5 Charts For Traders: Gold, US Dollar, CBOE SKEW and More

It’s time for another set of 5 macro technical charts to watch as we move toward the end of January (including stock market indices, sectors, individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and other benchmarks and market indicators). This chart review will look at technical price developments.  And even if you’re not technical analysis minded I believe…

The Vibe: Are Broad Markets Creeping Toward A Pullback?

The Vibe: A quick, and I mean quick weekly or even bi-weekly rundown of the things Sean Emory is seeing in the market RIGHT NOW. An emphasis on broad markets, single equities, and anything in between. It’s low key good.   The Details: Investor sentiment picked up dramatically following the Trump victory in November….

Richardson GMP 2017 Market Outlook: Policy “Trumps” Cycle

The following was written by the Richardson GMP Asset Management Team:  Craig Basinger (CIO), James Price (Director), Gareth Watson (Director), Chris Kerlow (PM), Derek Benedet (Analyst), Shane Obata (Analyst), and Joey Mack (Director).   This bull market is like a fine wine that keeps getting better with age. In its eighth…

Are Investors Pulling Too Much “Awesome” Forward?

  U.S. markets have “celebrated” the Trump election, with the S&P 500 () rising ~8% after a quick ~4% drop pre-election (and much deeper drop in futures the night of the election). There are quite a number of themes, positive and negative, continuing into the new year. The “positives” –…

Why I Warmed Up To US Treasuries

During the summer, I put out a lot of very bearish commentary about the Treasury market. There were numerous technical reasons for the call. In addition, and I know it seems so long ago, was this almost universal opinion that yields on the long end of the curve were going to…

S&P 500 Update: Upside Potential Into Mid-January

S&P 500 Futures (2-3 Days) – Bullish – Pullbacks ended up being minor by end of day yesterday, and prices retraced nearly all the weakness to close near highs. This is a short-term positive development. Movement up to near 2285 looks likely into January 12 before any peak. A move under…