Tag "10 year treasury note"

Market Seasonality Composite Charts For Stocks & Bonds

Earlier this week, I shared some stock market seasonality charts on my research blog and Twitter feed.  I’d like to highlight a couple of those right here on See It Market. The charts below look back over the past 27 years (1990-2017) and put together a composite yearly seasonality chart….

Treasury Bonds Continue To Be Bumpy Ride For Investors

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has been a roller coaster ride for bond traders and investors. As the equity market has been taking the escalator higher, the treasury bond market has been traversing a mountain side since summer. This price action lead many to believe that a…

Bond Market Update: Glimpses Of A Maturing Business Cycle?

Lots of talking heads are pointing to a lower yield curve as a warning sign. While the yield curve is relatively good indicator for the business cycle, a compressed (or even inverted) yield curve isn’t an immediate signal for bears. It need to find confirmation in other data. Today we’ll…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: Tech Exhaustion

The stock market action of the past few days is noteworthy and exhaustive (despite the rise). The market is weakening from early highs, and as of now, five sectors are down on the day, with the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) marginally positive and the Nasdaq towing the line. In the last few…

U.S. Equities Outlook: Indicators Lean Bullish Into Year End

The Weight of Evidence Offers Bullish Message For S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Into Year-End Highlights: Central Bank Patience Could Be Tested Global Economy Providing Upside Surprises Seasonal Patterns Argue For Fourth Quarter Strength Market Breadth Trends Show Improved Rally Participation Improving seasonal patterns have shifted the overall weight of the evidence from…

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Breadth Improving, Sentiment A Concern

In this week’s investing research outlook, I will analyze the current trend of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), check in on market breadth and investor sentiment indicators, and discuss current themes and news that we are watching in the financial markets. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending October 13, 2017:…

Stock Market Update: One More Push Higher?

Stock market futures traded up near yesterday’s highs this morning, a sign that bulls are defending the bears attempts at lower prices. That said, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) remains largely unchanged for the last couple weeks… a tough tape to trade. Bond Yields & Currencies Treasury bond yields have broken…

S&P 500 Weekly Update and Outlook: Mixed Messages

In this week’s investing research outlook, we will analyze the current trend of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), check in on investor sentiment and market breadth indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching right now. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending September 22, 2017: Indexes Make…

S&P 500 Could Record First Counter-Trend “Sell” Signal In Weeks

S&P 500 futures (and broader indexes) are showing first signs of weakening down to new 4-5 day closing lows as of today, while the NASDAQ 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) has been down every day except Tuesday.  This may catch up to the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) near-term. So while we’ve had 9 consecutive UP…

Chart Spotlight: U.S. Treasury Yields Under Pressure

As many of you know, I like to share charts that on trend lines. Whether price is testing, retesting, breaking out, or breaking down through a trend line, there’s a lot to be gleaned from them. Further, the 30 Year U.S. Treasury Yield (INDEXCBOE:TYX) is attempting to break through its…