Tag "10 year treasury note"

U.S. Equities Update: Are Investors Getting Overly Optimistic?

The equity markets traded lower last week with the ongoing concerns over rising interest rates, a stronger dollar and global trade. Over the weekend Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said the U.S. and China have agreed to continue negotiations to reduce China’s $375 billion annual trade surplus with the U.S. and that…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Stocks Stall, Upside Limited

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (1-2 Days): MILDLY BEARISH  Tough call here on a 2-3 day basis as US equities have been sideways for five days. That said, bond yields are breaking out around the globe and Technology continues to underperform. Many cycles pinpoint mid-June as being important, which i believe should…

Markets In Flux: What Happens At 3.0%?

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield appears to be rising into the 3.0% level. Now a number of market chatters have pointed to 3% as a critical threshold, from a resistance level and for a potential negative feedback loop onto the equity markets. Looking at the chart below, it is easy…

US Treasury Yield Curve Is The Talk Of The Town

The following chart and data highlight non-commercial commodity futures trading positions as of April 17, 2017. This data was released with the April 20 COT Report (Commitment of Traders). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The chart below looks at non-commercial futures trading positions for the 10 Year Treasury Note…

S&P 500 Weekly Market Outlook: Headwinds Remain

Stocks slid yesterday and the rally may face additional headwinds going forward. Here’s our latest look at key technical indicators and market trends for the trading week ending April 20, 2018. Key Takeaways: A pessimism-fueled bounce has led to some near-term breadth improvements. Lack of a breadth thrust and more…

U.S. Treasuries: Too Far Too Fast?

Since the September low point last year US 10-Year treasury bond yields have risen 90bps, this compares to 125bps from the low point in July 2016 through to March 2017, or if you count it as one big move they’ve gone up 158bps. What ever way you put it the…

Are Rising Interest Rates About To Hit A Wall?

Rising interest rates are finally getting some attention here, and by all accounts, investors are concerned! The rate with which treasury yields have moved higher has caught many off guard and may be part of the recent uptick in market volatility. Will interest rates pull back now that the market…

S&P 500 Market Outlook: The Long Awaited Pullback Begins

After a year without a legitimate stock market pullback (3 percent or more), the U.S. stock market indices are finally pulling back. To what extent, we don’t know. But February should be an interesting month. It appears that lingering concerns have finally given way to a market pullback. Let’s breakdown…

Bond Market Sitting On The Precipice: Are Higher Yields Next?

While the stock market continues its boring path higher within the confines of the narrowest of channels, one needs to look elsewhere for some price volatility. Well, kind of. Once again, treasuries sit at the precipice of what could be some ugliness, which are higher yields very quickly. Will the…