Posts From Paban Raj Pandey

Paban Raj Pandey
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 18 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on macro, equities, technical analysis, and derivatives. He shares his thoughts and ideas on his blog www.hedgopia.com.
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The COT Report: Gold, Crude Oil Rally But Data Mixed

The following is a recap of the recent Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and commodity futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of May 9. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…

COT Report Data (May 5): 3 Charts For Commodities Traders

The following is a recap of the recent Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and commodity futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of May 2. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…

COT Report Data (April 21): 3 Charts For Commodity Futures Traders

The following is a recap of the recent Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and commodity futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of April 18. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…

COT Report Futures Analysis: Gold, Crude Oil, and The US Dollar

The following is a recap of the recent Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of April 11. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this blog…

S&P 500 Bottom Indicator? Watch For A VIX Spike Reversal

Wednesday witnessed several potentially important developments in the markets, but the message is not clear-cut. After straddling the 50-day moving average for nearly three weeks, the S&P 500 large cap index (INDEXSP:.INX) lost it yesterday, albeit not by much.  This was the first time the index closed under that average…

3 COT Report Charts For Commodities Traders

The following is a recap of the March 31 Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of March 28. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…

Russell 2000 Rally Prospects: Levels, Flows, & Short Interest

Determined not to let go of nearly four-month support, small-cap bulls once again stepped up to the plate Monday – sending the Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) higher. From down 1.4 percent intraday to close the session up 0.2 percent, the Russell 2000 small cap index initially got pushed under the…

Assessing The Aging Bull Market For Stocks In 3 Charts

The bull market in U.S. stocks is 8 years old. After a harrowing 57-percent collapse that began in October 2007, the S&P 500 large cap index (INDEXSP:.INX) bottomed at an intraday low of 666.79 on March 6, 2009. Tuesday, it closed at 2368.39. Table 1 is courtesy of Howard Silverblatt…

2017 S&P 500 Operating Earnings Outlook: Estimates Lowered

Stocks keep making new highs, and corporate earnings keep getting downwardly revised. That about sums up the current state of affairs in U.S. equities.  With momentum as strong as it is, markets have turned a blind eye to multiples. Consequently, the trailing price-to-earnings ratio on the S&P 500 large cap…

3 COT Report Charts For Commodities Traders (Feb 3)

The following is a recap of the February 3 Commitment of Traders Report (COT) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at Commitment of Traders data and futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of January 31. Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week. Excerpts of this…