Tag "us treasuries"

Chart Spotlight: U.S. Treasury Yields Under Pressure

As many of you know, I like to share charts that on trend lines. Whether price is testing, retesting, breaking out, or breaking down through a trend line, there’s a lot to be gleaned from them. Further, the 30 Year U.S. Treasury Yield (INDEXCBOE:TYX) is attempting to break through its…

Is Bond Market On The Cusp Of A QT Tantrum?

As attention moves to the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium (aka global central bank meet up) it’s worth taking a look at a couple of developments in monetary policy and bonds markets. The main reason, as I will explain, is that there is the very real prospect of a repeat…

Around The Financial Markets: 3 Charts I’m Watching Today

Tuesday is off and running and market participants are in a read and react mode.  The bounce is still in motion but there’s plenty of time to see how this plays out.  And plenty of variables to watch. The latest economic data:  Empire Manufacturing is showing a large beat at…

Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) Runs Into Key Price Resistance

A couple weeks ago, I wrote that I was looking for a bond market rally to short. Particularly on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). Well, that treasury bond rally came.  And an opportunity for savvy traders may be presenting itself. Looking at the chart below, you can…

Treasury Yields Poised To Grind Upward

Last September, we showed the support area where we expected long-term yields to begin a possible reversal. Soon afterward, the index rallied from the zone and broke through initial resistance, but it has spent most of 2017 until now in a corrective retracement. Now it appears that rates may be…

Bond Market Sentiment Slides On Outlook Concerns

This article looks at a unique market indicator that we’ve put together on the bond market. It provides a nice gauge of expectations for bonds in 2017 and beyond. It is designed to capture Bond Market sentiment and it does a fairly good job of flagging short-to-medium term turning points in…

Global Markets Update: Demographics May Hurt Future Returns

Equity markets continue to move higher on the hopes of fiscal stimulus in the U.S. But the pressure is on… Analysts are increasingly divided into bearish and bullish camps, as the politicians must now deliver on their promises to avoid disappointing the stock market. Stocks & Bonds Looking at the…

Post-Fed Day Market Update: Stocks & Bonds Holding Support

I do not like to get too excited on FED days when the stock market rallies. These Federal Reserve inspired rallies have a way of reversing themselves. We will see if this move brings something different. The below chart is a 2 hour of the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) with the…

Treasury Bond Yields Near Lowest Levels Since November

The stock market’s 2017 advance slowed last week with the blue-chip averages gaining less than 1.00% while the rally in small- and mid-cap averages stalled. Nevertheless, the performance year-to-date continues to surprise on the upside. And the latest bump may be aided by lower treasury bond yields (INDEXCBOE:TNX). The equity…