Tag "us treasuries"

US Treasury Notes Are Nearing End Of Intermediate Bear Cycle

As the S&P 500 has been declining in dramatic fashion this week. During this duress, 10 year treasury notes (ZN) have stabilized. A “flight to safety” trade is common when equities decline. That said 10 year treasury notes are in the declining phase of their current intermediate market cycle. This…

Treasury Bonds Continue To Be Bumpy Ride For Investors

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has been a roller coaster ride for bond traders and investors. As the equity market has been taking the escalator higher, the treasury bond market has been traversing a mountain side since summer. This price action lead many to believe that a…

Inflation Indicator Highlights Uncertainty For Bond Traders

Well rounded investors and traders need to understand what’s happening across asset classes. If money is coming out of one asset class, it’s likely to flow into another one. Right now, equities are red hot as the stock market is making new all time highs… almost daily it seems. At…

Pockets Of Forced Selling Highlight Risks For Investors

There are pockets of forced selling taking place in the global markets, and I find it curious that these different asset classes are politely ‘taking turns’. Below I identify these asset classes and try to find meaning for investors in the forced selling… and rotation. JAPAN:  November 9th the Nikkei went from…

Chart Spotlight: U.S. Treasury Yields Under Pressure

As many of you know, I like to share charts that on trend lines. Whether price is testing, retesting, breaking out, or breaking down through a trend line, there’s a lot to be gleaned from them. Further, the 30 Year U.S. Treasury Yield (INDEXCBOE:TYX) is attempting to break through its…

Is Bond Market On The Cusp Of A QT Tantrum?

As attention moves to the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium (aka global central bank meet up) it’s worth taking a look at a couple of developments in monetary policy and bonds markets. The main reason, as I will explain, is that there is the very real prospect of a repeat…

Around The Financial Markets: 3 Charts I’m Watching Today

Tuesday is off and running and market participants are in a read and react mode.  The bounce is still in motion but there’s plenty of time to see how this plays out.  And plenty of variables to watch. The latest economic data:  Empire Manufacturing is showing a large beat at…

Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) Runs Into Key Price Resistance

A couple weeks ago, I wrote that I was looking for a bond market rally to short. Particularly on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). Well, that treasury bond rally came.  And an opportunity for savvy traders may be presenting itself. Looking at the chart below, you can…

Treasury Yields Poised To Grind Upward

Last September, we showed the support area where we expected long-term yields to begin a possible reversal. Soon afterward, the index rallied from the zone and broke through initial resistance, but it has spent most of 2017 until now in a corrective retracement. Now it appears that rates may be…