Tag: u.s. economic data
Uncertainty Is the Name of the Financials Markets Game
Last Wednesday, if you somehow had a premonition that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was NOT going to show signs of cooling but instead surprise to...
Tail Risk and Persistent Inflation
Tail risk is the danger that asset prices move significantly more than what is considered normal. Given the lasting financial toll often caused by...
The State Of The Consumer Market: Staples versus Discretionary
Earnings for consumer staples and discretionary companies rely heavily on individual consumers’ financial health and sentiment. The recent bout of high inflation and negative...
Persistent Inflation Is Scaring The Federal Reserve
The markets are now betting that inflation will soon subside, allowing the Fed to pivot. But, if inflation proves persistent and not transitory, the...
Inflation or Recession, Which Concern Is Driving The Market?
In the Trolley Car Problem – The Fed’s Predicament, we laid out how the Fed may likely choose to fight inflation at the expense of...
The 3 Stages of a Bear Market
Yes, we said it. The bear market is here. Whether you want to stick with the literal definition of a close below 20% or are satisfied...
The Federal Reserve’s Predicament: The Trolley Car Problem (Part 1)
An unstoppable trolley car is barreling down the track. As the switchman, you stand at the junction where the track branches into two and...
Don’t Fight The Fed
If we could only impart one bit of wisdom to our readers about today’s market it is “don’t fight the Fed.“
Unbeknownst to many investors,...
Post PCE: What is the Pre-PCE Market Saying?
Stocks are primarily unchanged or trading slightly higher as pressures from rising food and energy prices persist.Â
As I reiterate, among the war's immediate external...
Peak inflation? Not There Yet.
The biggest market-moving economic data, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 1.0% in May, bringing the one-year tally to +8.6%.
One little silver lining:...
