Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
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S&P 500 Update: The Troops Are Lagging The Generals

During the first week of November, with the S&P 500 in a resistance area (2,100 – 2,135) that has produced many, many failures, I asked the question:  Will it once again represent an unmovable object or will stocks stick their nose up at these levels and run the S&P 500…

The Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Is Nearing A Big Move

The chart of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) continues to confuse many investors. Other than pointing out key support and resistance, the only thing I can say is that the price action is compressing, so a big move is probably coming. The daily Bollinger Bands fell below 4%…

Market Bulls Regain Control But Resistance Looms For Stocks

Generally, the major stock market indices all look about the same so it’s a bit fruitless to analyze all of them every single week. Our focus has always been on the S&P 500 as that is the world’s benchmark for equities. Some interesting differences have cropped up during the last…

Crude Oil Breakout: Prices Rally Towards Higher Targets

It was a big week for the Crude Oil bulls, as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) broke out from a triangle or bullish pennant formation. The rally pushed crude oil prices right up into two more pieces of key resistance. Let’s review the technical picture for crude. For those of you…

S&P 500 Correction: Is 2015 Really That Similar To 2011?

There are many technicians and market seers who are comparing today’s price action as well as market sentiment to the 2011 period. I will admit that the price action is remarkably similar and that sentiment has reached the same bearish extremes, with some actually worse than 2011. I will also…

S&P 500 Market Update: Check Your Ego At The Door

One must remember that bear markets, assuming that is the correct call here, go through phases. In other words, they generally don’t happen overnight. There are a couple of ways to describe the phases of the stock market. The easiest has more to do with supply and demand, and start…

S&P 500 Market Update: Bearish Wedge Takes Control

The bearish symmetrical triangle on the S&P 500 that I talked about a couple of weeks ago has morphed into a different shaped triangle called a bearish wedge. As I said before, triangles are continuation patterns of the prior trend meaning an eventual bearish resolution. At this time, the index is sitting very close…

Triangle Pattern Tells Investors To Remain Cautious On Stocks

The good news is that price volatility on the S&P 500 has calmed down somewhat and that the index remains above the recent lows. The bad news is that prices remain under a mountain of overhead supply having run out of gas close to the underside of the top. The current boundaries…

An Oil Gusher: How Crude Oil May Have Drilled Out A Bottom

With Crude Oil (WTI) Drilling Lower Almost Everyday, The Market Finally Hit Oil And A Geiser Erupted… I have been looking for a potential bottom in crude oil for a couple weeks now, and it appears we finally have a meaningful low. Prices erupted Thursday and Friday to finish the…

S&P 500 Market Update: 8 Reasons A Bottom May Be Near

The S&P 500 fell right to the next key support area of 1,970 on Friday, as fear and panic quickly spread to the throughout the broader market. The faster we go down, the quicker we bottom, although it certainly doesn’t feel great. There are two scenarios (for the S&P 500)…