Posts From Mark Arbeter

Mark Arbeter
Mark is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26 year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical Strategist. He made several important market calls, focusing on the intermediate to long-term. Mark is a traditional chartist with a broad understanding of technical analysis, including chart reading, momentum analysis, intermarket analysis, sector analysis, sentiment, and Elliott Wave. He is a Chartered Market Technician, holding a degree in Finance and Economics from Temple University and an MBA from Rider University. You can follow Mark on Twitter and StockTwits: @MarkArbeter.
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This Week’s Stock Market Outlook: Is A Bear Rally Underway?

Talk about a roller coaster ride for investors. This past week was nothing short of exasperating for the masses. The S&P 500 fell 1.6% on Monday, rallied 1.4% on Tuesday, and then dropped 1.1% on Wednesday after what looked like a very nice breakout in the morning. Thursday was dicey before firming…

Will Warning Signs Spur Bear Market For Stocks In 2016?

The Bear is Growling: Will All Those 2015 Technical Warnings Finally Spur A Bear Market? I have been writing technical stock market commentary for a long time, first as technical market strategist, and second as a newsletter writer. Really no difference except the pay. LOL. One comment I have heard over…

Stock Market Capitulation Here? What To Watch For

After yesterday’s reversal and sharp decline, we could be in the stock market capitulation phase of this decline both from a price and sentiment perspective. The S&P 500 Index is quickly approaching August/September lows in 1,867/1,872 region. And volume has been consistently heavy as bulls appear to be throwing in the…

Russell 2000 Update: Small Caps Better Right The Ship Soon

The Russell 2000 got obliterated last week, plunging 8 percent. Since the June 23 all-time high, the small caps index has cratered 19.3%.  It’s extremely oversold and has many investors wondering about the extreme weakness in small caps stocks. Furthermore, the small caps index is at the same level that…

S&P 500 Market Update: Selloff Tests Key Support Level

The S&P 500 bounced off a key technical support area yesterday around 1,990. This zone represents key chart support as well as the top of the double bottom breakout. Since early November, the “500” has been in a clear downtrend, and with yesterday’s selloff, the S&P 500 has undercut trendline support off the September…

The Stealth Bear Market: A Review Of 2015 And Look Ahead

In a newsletter I wrote in August, I speculated that we might be in a stealth bear market. This was certainly not something that I predicted for 2015, just an after the fact observation. So what is a stealth bear market and what are the implications from here? A stealth…

Big Move Lower In Treasury Bonds Has Bears Growling

It was an ugly day for treasury bonds. Let’s recap the recent price action of a popular treasury bonds ETF and look for clues as to the intentions of bonds. The iShares 20+ year Treasury Bonds ETF (TLT) saw a kick back rally right to broken trendline support (now resistance) and has…

S&P 500 Update: The Troops Are Lagging The Generals

During the first week of November, with the S&P 500 in a resistance area (2,100 – 2,135) that has produced many, many failures, I asked the question:  Will it once again represent an unmovable object or will stocks stick their nose up at these levels and run the S&P 500…

The Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Is Nearing A Big Move

The chart of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) continues to confuse many investors. Other than pointing out key support and resistance, the only thing I can say is that the price action is compressing, so a big move is probably coming. The daily Bollinger Bands fell below 4%…

Market Bulls Regain Control But Resistance Looms For Stocks

Generally, the major stock market indices all look about the same so it’s a bit fruitless to analyze all of them every single week. Our focus has always been on the S&P 500 as that is the world’s benchmark for equities. Some interesting differences have cropped up during the last…