Stocks & Bonds

VIX Volatility Index: Reversal May Hint At A Market Bottom

It seems the term Fear Index gets thrown around a lot these days, but what do people actually mean by that? Most people are referring to the VIX Index which is a market volatility index created by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) that reflects the markets expectations for volatility over the next 30…

Dead Cat Bounce For Stocks? Strong Market Breadth Says No

The two-day rally in stock markets has been impressive. Further, market breadth has been so strong during the rally that it’s difficult to categorize this as a “Dead Cat Bounce”. At the time of this writing, market breadth was running positive about 8/1 while volume is flowing in at around a 9/1…

2016 Mid-Year Investment Strategy Outlook – R.W. Baird

2016 At The Half: Contrasts and Consistency An in-depth look at our 2016 Mid-Year Strategy Outlook.  Stocks, Bonds, monetary policy, and more… Highlights: Federal Reserve Continues to Struggle with Messaging Prospects for Economy May Be Better Than Assumed Despite Rally, Equity Funds Continue to See Outflows Market Breadth Offering More…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For June 29

S&P 500 Futures June 29 – Trading Outlook (ES_F) – S&P 500 futures are continuing to bounce higher on Wednesday. If we can overtake 2043.5 to 2045.25 and hold, then we’ll likely stair step right back into 2064 to 2067. Deeper support sits at 2025-2028. This would mark another region of higher…

5 Stock Market Indicators To Watch Following BREXIT

The unexpected decision on Thursday by the UK voters to leave the European Union resulted in sharp declines in the major stock market averages on Friday. The S&P 500 Index fell 3.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 3.4% and the NASDAQ declined 4.1%. Global stock markets enjoyed a strong…

Global Divergence Warned Of Pullback In U.S. Bank Stocks

In May, Arun Chopra, CFA, CMT and I noted the following market divergence between U.S. bank stocks (XLF) and Deutsche Bank (DB). We were concerned that U.S. bank stocks may get pulled down by fellow European banks such as Deutsche Bank. Here’s the chart from May: In May, we asked “It doesn’t matter…

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook For June 28

Stock Market Futures Trading Outlook for June 28, 2016 – S&P 500 futures are in the process of bouncing off extended support regions and are now testing resistance from prior days. Though there is a definite bearish undercurrent, the charts seem ready to hold higher lows today, as we settle into…

3 Reasons Why This Stock Market Pullback Is Bullish

The 3 highlighted paragraphs below were sent out to subscribers right after the market close on Thursday. Little did I know just how powerful it was. While I have been calling for a stock market pullback the past couple of weeks, which would set the stock market up for new…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For June 27

Stock Market Futures Outlook for June 27, 2016 – S&P 500 futures bounced on Friday but has failed to hold gains as markets across the seas are down again in the wake of the EU referendum in Britain. If S&P 500 futures dip below 1999, we see another support level near 1994.5,…