Stocks & Bonds

October Seasonality: Strong And Weak Trending Stocks

A new month is here, so it’s time to take a look at some stocks and ETFs that show strong and weak seasonality trends for the month of October. This month often carries the stigma of being a bit more volatile, so investors will need to stay focused. Below are the data tables for October highlighting some October seasonality stats and insights. Strong October Seasonality – Stocks To Watch A couple items

Why October May Be RollerCoaster Ride For Stock Market

We’re almost to October and that could mean better things for the bulls. As I noted here on See It Market on September 18, the next few weeks were very bearish for the stock market based purely on seasonality. This played out well last week, but I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet. Most of my studies have shown bottoms occurring the second half of October. The average

5 Warning Signs For Stocks

First off, let me start by saying that no one can predict major market tops and bottoms. All we can do as participants is to put together the pieces of puzzle to get a clearer picture of what’s happening and whether there are any warning signs. With this in mind, I thought I’d try to collect some of the puzzle pieces and lay them out in a post. In my

SP 500, EURUSD Square Outs: When Time And Price Align

In some of my past posts I have discussed how we can move the decimal point on something like the low of the S&P 500 on March 06, 2009 at 666 and find time and price value. It goes something like this: move the decimal point to 66.6 and on Monday we hit 66.6 months since the low in 2009. This is called a square out, and reflects where/when PRICE

Households Most Bullish Stocks Since 2000: Crash Redux?

As many readers are aware, I’m a big follower of investor sentiment and household data. Below is one of my favorite bigger picture charts. This chart shows the percentage of households and nonprofits financial assets in stocks and similar holdings. For reference, you can get this data from our friends at the Federal Reserve. As of the 2nd quarter, this ratio was up to 31.31%, the highest percentage reading in stocks

Why Tesla’s Stock (TSLA) May Be Headed In Reverse

Tesla Motors has been dominating news headlines lately and has become a darling of the stock market. Recent news included a software update for Tesla owners that allows them to map out a route based on current traffic congestion. Amazing stuff really. Other features for Tesla Model S owners include remote start from an iPhone and the ability to raise suspension when going over ridges or bumps. This latter feature

Russell 2000: When the Levee Breaks

After a blistering +37% run in 2013, Small Cap benchmark index Russell 2000 has spent the balance of this year oscillating a broad sideways consolidation bounded by 1210 above and 1080 below.  This range was set by the 02/05-03/03’s parabolic drive higher and has now prevailed over the last 6.5 months.Depending on timeframe, the Russell’s (in)action in 2014 has provided market players and observers with wildly disparate experiences. As a

Is A Market Top Forming? 6 Things To Watch For

In the stock market, there seems nothing more romantic than someone ‘calling’ a market top. At some point we’ve all likely succumbed to making our own ‘call’, eventually wising up and yielding to the grizzled veteran approach of insisting that market tops are indeed a process and not a particular point. This post is not a ‘call’, but if I were to go looking for the process, the following 6 items would

Emerging Markets Update: EEM, BRICs Nearing Critical Juncture

Well, that didn’t take long. In just under 6 weeks, the Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has corrected nearly 6 percent. Today alone, EEM declined 1.52%. A stronger dollar, Russian sanctions, and worries about global growth (i.e. the Euro zone) have likely played a role in stalling the Emerging Markets rally. To be fair, though, the pullback is still within the bounds of what might be expected after rallying nearly 25 percent

Market Update: Earnings, Financials Driving Stocks Higher

I was on Fox Business on Tuesday and had a good market discussion discussing everything from the Fed to Corporate earnings to the Financials sector with hosts Liz Claman and David Asman, and guests Larry Shover and John Buckingham. I’ve been on a few times with Larry and I’m a big fan. He kicked things of pointing out the economic data still isn’t perfect and the Fed will act very slowly.