Tag "investing research"

S&P 500 Trading Update: Short-Term Concerns Mounting

S&P 500 Near-Term Outlook (2-3 Days):  BEARISH I am seeing various signs of the Industrials sector selling off (Transports), while a yield curve downturn is putting pressure on the Financials sector. As well, the Nasdaq (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) and technology look to be stalling out.  These factors (and several concerns listed below)…

NYSE Composite Breadth/Volume Still Favors Bullish Trend

An August 2016 analysis outlined a long-term bullish signal for stocks that has occurred only ten other times in the last thirty-five years. If we fast forward to July 2017, is market breadth/volume aligning with or contradicting bullish data we have in hand? The chart below shows up/down volume (1996-2010) for the NYSE Composite…

Consumer Checkup: Retail Healthy But Trends Bring Change

This article was written by Derek Benedet. One would think given low unemployment, rising wages, still low interest rates, high confidence and a rising wealth effect (thanks to a stock market at record highs and rising home prices) the consumer should be in the sweet spot in terms of spending….

Market Update: Measured Rally Bullish For Stocks

Technical indicators continue to point to further gains in the stock market. The Dow Transports recently hit a new high confirming the record high by the Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) – a Dow Theory signal. In addition, the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) and NYSE Composite Index (INDEXNYSEGIS:NYA) are are reaching…

Treasury Yields Poised To Grind Upward

Last September, we showed the support area where we expected long-term yields to begin a possible reversal. Soon afterward, the index rallied from the zone and broke through initial resistance, but it has spent most of 2017 until now in a corrective retracement. Now it appears that rates may be…

S&P 500 Weekly Investing Outlook: Looking For Follow Through

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup and trends of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), key stock market trends and indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending July 14, 2017: Patterns…

Global Bond Markets Are Breaking Down

After the big reflation reset in positioning, global bond markets are showing more signs of breaking down. We previously talked in detail about the idea of the reflation reset in the context of a decent global growth and inflation outlook which would likely set the scene for growth assets to outperform defensive/income assets. Now…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: All-Time Highs Once More

Here’s a quick update for traders as we head into the weekend. Note that the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) is enjoying new all-time highs as buyers give the market another push higher. Economic Data CPI came in at 0.0% vs 0.1% – a bit light.  Retail sales headline came in at…

Nasdaq Bends… But Major Trends Don’t Break

Facts Instead Of Forecasts The definition of a fact is a thing that is indisputably the case. The chart below shows the long-term trends in the NASDAQ rolling over in late 2007. The chart presents a set of indisputable facts. Notice in late 2007/early 2008: The fastest weekly moving average (blue)…