Tag "investing research"

Bull Market Cycle Update: Let The Good Times Roll?

The amount of resources thrown at trying to develop rules or models to predict turns or direction is truly immense. The problem, though, is that the financial markets are more of a social science given the number and behaviour of participants. You simply can’t solve for ‘x’. And even if…

Stocks Buoyed By Investor Sentiment And Inflation Data

The Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) and S&P 500 Index (INDEXDJX:.DJI) ended marginally lower for the second week in a row last week. But the bulls are back at it again this week, with stocks rising Monday and set to rally again today. The equity markets staved off a pullback attempt…

Telecom Stocks Look Overdue For A Rally

2017 hasn’t been kind to the Telecommunications Sector and several telecom stocks. The Telecom Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:IYZ) is down over 15% this year, with the past two weeks providing a thud to the decline. The carnage in the sector can be seen on the weekly chart for IYZ below. But…

Gold Chart Update (GLD): Back In A Trading Range

The last 2 months haven’t been kind to Gold bulls. The precious metal appeared to be breaking out in early September, but that breakout attempt failed miserably. Today we’ll take a look at the chart of the Gold ETF and provide an update. SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD) The Gold…

November Stock Market Weakness: A Time for Thanks-Giving 

The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) declined -0.13% this past week with Friday’s close coming in at 2,578.85. The index traded as low as 2,557.85 on Wednesday, and as high as 2,590.09 on Thursday, before finishing the week with a lazy “inside day” on Friday. While most were aware that the S&P 500’s…

Small Cap Stocks: Time To Get Your Rally Caps On?

Small cap stocks tend to offer a bit more risk and reward. That equates to higher beta, which in turn tends to mean stronger returns when the broader market is healthy, and weaker returns when the broader market is in the doldrums. So where are we now?  Likely at an…

S&P 500 ETF (SPY): 10 Insights For Traders This Week

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) fell -0.2% last week but did show resiliency mid-week. That said, the S&P 500 has traded sideways for 4 weeks. Stay disciplined and tune out the noise – your process and strategy should keep you in your trades until it stops working. Stay alert…

COT Report Spec Positioning: Record Net Longs In Crude Oil

The following are charts and data showing non-commercial futures trading positions as of November 14, 2017. This data was released with the October 17 Commitment of Traders Report (CoT). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The 4 charts below look at non-commercial futures trading positions for Crude Oil, Gold, and…

Bond Market Update: Glimpses Of A Maturing Business Cycle?

Lots of talking heads are pointing to a lower yield curve as a warning sign. While the yield curve is relatively good indicator for the business cycle, a compressed (or even inverted) yield curve isn’t an immediate signal for bears. It need to find confirmation in other data. Today we’ll…

S&P 500 Weekly Market Outlook: Sentiment & Breadth In Focus

In this week’s investing research outlook, we examine current trends for the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), while checking in on stock market breadth and investor sentiment indicators. We’ll also discuss current investing themes and news that we are watching in the financial markets. Here’s our summary of our findings for the week ending November…