Tag "investing research"

S&P 500 Market Update: 5 Key Concerns For Traders

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  BEARISH The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has now risen into the first important zone where a trend reversal could take place between now and Friday. Overall, 2520 (futures) should be an area to sell into on any opening Spike between now and Friday.  UNDER 2487, or last week’s…

Commodities Update: What’s Next For Energy & Materials Stocks?

Last week we took a look at interest rate sensitive sectors to kick off our mini-series on core income. In our second edition of the of this series we examine the Commodity sectors: Energy (NYSEARCA:XLE) and Materials (NYSEARCA:XLB) both of which are very sensitive to economic conditions. These sectors tend…

Russell 2000 Volatility Index Hits Record Lows: Trouble Ahead?

Small-Cap volatility expectations just smashed previous record lows. I’ve written a fair amount lately on various themes related to volatility expectations in the stock market. Many of these posts focused on the behavior of volatility expectations relative to their underlying stock market indices, including one last week on the “stand-off” between the Russell…

U.S. Equities Update: Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB) Lead Rally

The equity markets remain elevated with the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX,) and Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) sitting at record highs. The move to new highs is finding leadership via the Industrials Sector (NYSEARCA:XLI) and the Materials Sector (NYSEARCA:XLB). Stocks are being supported by improving global economic conditions and by a growing…

Investing Update: Market ‘Tells’ and Studying Like A Pro Coach

Professional Coaches Study The Game And Their Opponents Successful coaches in any sport break down film to better understand the small details that lead to long-term success. The same principles can be applied to the financial markets, trading, and investing. Michael Lombardi, who worked with NFL coach Bill Belichick for…

Economic Chart Spotlight: Global Monetary Policy Converges

The big focus this week is on whether the Fed will either hike rates, announce Quantitative Tighening (QT) aka balance sheet normalization, do both, or do nothing…. but a bigger set of trends are playing out at a global level in the monetary policy space. The key chart in this article came…

Consumer Sentiment Follows Global Equities To New Highs

Over the weekend, I shared a chart brief on my website looking at two sentiment charts while discussing their role alongside the rally in global equities in 2017. The two charts pit the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment vs Global Equities (All-World), along with the same consumer sentiment charted against the Global…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: Upside Limited

S&P 500 Outlook (2-3 Days):   BEARISH Upside is likely limited into Expiration as the rally stalls. There’s been no change in thinking given lack of movement here lately. While near-term trends have been positive, prices have the potential to reverse course into early next week. As stated yesterday, further gains likely…

U.S. Dollar Index Most Oversold Since 2008

Lots of indecision around the Dollar right now.  I’m honestly in the “I don’t know” camp when it comes to the current major trend in the US Dollar Index (CURRENCY:USD). For instance, did the dollar just finish a multi-year A B C upward correction and is it now headed for…

Retail Sales Trends: Department Stores Rise From Ashes

It’s true… The decline of the department store is nothing new. We have seen record retail closures, drastic shifts in business models, and full-blown marketing and price wars. With Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) taking massive share gains and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) moving to online, the department store has been struggling to keep up….