Posts From Dana Lyons

Dana Lyons
Dana is a partner at J. Lyons Fund Management, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor and founder of My401kPro.com. He is also the editor of the Lyons Share. Dana is a veteran of nearly 20 years in the investment industry as a portfolio manager, analyst and commodities trader and is an original Yahoo Finance Contributor. Dana has a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a major in Finance from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania where he was also an All-Ivy League football player. He lives in Chicago with his wife, Dana (seriously, same name) and 3 children. (DL: “Our oldest child is 4…did I mention I’m a manager and not a planner?”)
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3 Risk On-Off Indicators Are Flashing Caution For Stocks

Three metrics that normally fare well in healthy bull markets are faltering; but how serious is it? We’ve been talking about a few sneaky barometers of “risk on/risk off” markets for a few weeks now. To clarify, stocks typically rally, and on firm footing, when these metrics are favorable as they indicate…

Stock Market Streak Of “Strong” Closes Ends: Weakness Next?

The S&P 500’s record streak without a ‘weak’ close came to an end Thursday; what does it mean for stocks going forward? By any name – melt-up, relentless bid, creep, etc. – the recent advance in the stock market has been impressive.  And there is no shortage of statistical means by…

What A Strong January Means For Stocks Historically

The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) never traded below its 2016 closing price during January; prior such cases have been very positive harbingers for the stock market…mostly. January was an exceptionally placid month in the stock market. With the various year-end/new year dynamics that are often at play, it is typical to…

Are Large Cap Growth Stocks Poised For A Breakout?

Index of Large Cap Growth Stocks Testing Major Breakout Resistance Strategists seem to be split in terms of the stock market’s posture at this time. One contingent views the recent consolidation as a healthy digestion of the post-election rally prior to the next leg of advance. The other side views it as…

Yahoo Stock (YHOO) Update: Time For A Trend Change?

Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO) has been in the news a lot over the past few years. Whether it be acquisitions, speculation about being acquired, operations, or valuation, it’s been covered. And with the stock under pressure into 2016, the news wasn’t always cheery. But if we look at a long-term linear…

Crude Oil Futures Speculation Nears 2014 Highs

Speculators in crude oil futures are back near their “obscene” record net-long position set just prior to the 2014 collapse in oil prices. Here’s why oil bulls should be worried about current crude oil futures speculative positions… When we started posting our charts on social media and writing this blog some…

Walmart’s Stock Price (WMT) Nears Crossroads Into 2017

It’s been a rough ride for Walmart (NYSE:WMT) investors over the past 2 years. The stock fell sharply in 2015 before rallying back in 2016.  Now it’s at a crossroads heading into 2017 As you can see in the chart below, Walmart’s stock price has formed a pennant pattern over the past…

Global Dow Index Chart Highlights Year-End Resistance For Stocks

The Global Dow Index is running into its long-term Down trendline stemming from the 2007 all-time peak. Here in the U.S., equity investors have been a bit spoiled as they’ve watched index after index break into all-time high ground this year. Around the globe, investors have not been so lucky….

Are Traders Over-Confident That Santa Is Coming To Town?

We’ve covered the term structure of stock volatility indices on several occasions. This, again, refers to the relationship between the various durations, e.g., 8-day, 1-month, 3-month, represented by these indices.  Today, we’ll look at the relationship between the 1-month Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX) and the 3-month Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VXV) The concept…

Dow Jones 20000? Not As Important As This Stock Index

An approaching level in a lesser-known stock market index is, in our view, much more consequential than the widely anticipated Dow Jones 20000 mark. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) nearing the 20000 level, anticipation on the street has become palpable. At our firm, we’ve been putting in late…