Stock Market Weekly Outlook & Technical Review – September 30 Here’s a look at some key stock market indicators and emerging themes that we are watching in our latest “Stock Market Outlook”: Small-Cap Stocks Enter Fourth Quarter With Wind At Their Back – The Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) and fellow small-cap…
After experiencing a very newsworthy decline from 2012 to 2015, the Japanese Yen has recovered strongly in 2016. But the Japanese Yen rally is “running” into resistance. You can see this in the chart below. The chart looks at the past 20 years. As you can see, the Yen spent the…
Stock market outlook for September 30, 2016 – After breaking yesterday’s lows overnight, S&P 500 futures are bouncing into congestion. Front line resistance sits at 2149, well below the support levels assessed in yesterday’s trading. We still need to pay attention to sellers at the top of the range near…
Back in May, I offered up a macro technical outlook for crude oil prices. In that blog post, I discussed why oil prices were looking very extended and were due for a pullback. Shortly after the article, crude oil prices peaked and pushed down below $40 a barrel (a 24% correction). It…
We are close to finishing out the historically bearish period of seasonality for equities. And while we didn’t see any kind of crash that many traders were expecting, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up nearly 4% and saw just a 5% drop back in June. Overall, it wasn’t a terrible summer…
Stock Market Futures Outlook for September 29, 2016 – Range bound behavior on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) continues. The winning trader has been trading the range bound channel – moving in at price support and out at price resistance, or the reverse. We still need to pay attention to sellers…
September has presented traders with several warning signs of instability in equity and bond markets. So we are focusing our posts and our newsletter this week on developments in various stock market indices. We are especially interested in identifying signs of pattern completion and weakening momentum as stock market indices…
After an amazing snapback rally earlier this year, Crude Oil prices have spent time consolidating. In short, the tension is building as traders await Crude Oil’s next big move. Crude Oil Chart & Price Action Insights Yesterday Crude Oil futures (CL) signaled an extremehurst compression signal. This market signal is non-directional but indicates…
Stock Market Futures Outlook for September 28, 2016 – After the initial fade into the morning yesterday, the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) lifted off the lows. S&P 500 futures now sit just below the open of the week. If futures can breach 2159, we’re likely to hold gains today. We will…
As I’m writing, major stock market indices are reversing back higher. Below is a chart highlighting some key price levels for S&P 500 Futures. As the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) is the broadest indicator of U.S. equities, it’s highly traded (and tracked) by active investors. On the downside, the key level…