Investing Research

October Seasonality: Strong And Weak Trending Stocks

A new month is here, so it’s time to take a look at some stocks and ETFs that show strong and weak seasonality trends for the month of October. This month often carries the stigma of being a bit more volatile, so investors will need to stay focused. Below are the data tables for October highlighting some October seasonality stats and insights. Strong October Seasonality – Stocks To Watch A couple items

Why Thursday’s ECB May Spark a Major Euro Rally

Andy Nyquist’s excellent multi-timeframe review of the US Dollar Index’s (DX) now-historic run (currently working on 12 consecutive weeks higher) notes the seasonal challenges this advance confronts as we enter the month of October. For the Euro – 56% of the US Dollar Index by weight – this couldn’t come at a more opportune time with a pivotal ECB policy meeting two days away.  Likewise for those itching for a

Why The US Dollar Rally May Stall Out In October

The US Dollar has been on a tear lately. It’s set to close higher for the third month in a row. And not just marginally higher: the past three months have seen the US Dollar Index surge from sub-80 to nearly 86. No doubt this is strong action, and may very well be the beginnings of a longer-term trend change. But October has been a tough month for the Dollar

Why October May Be RollerCoaster Ride For Stock Market

We’re almost to October and that could mean better things for the bulls. As I noted here on See It Market on September 18, the next few weeks were very bearish for the stock market based purely on seasonality. This played out well last week, but I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet. Most of my studies have shown bottoms occurring the second half of October. The average

5 Warning Signs For Stocks

First off, let me start by saying that no one can predict major market tops and bottoms. All we can do as participants is to put together the pieces of puzzle to get a clearer picture of what’s happening and whether there are any warning signs. With this in mind, I thought I’d try to collect some of the puzzle pieces and lay them out in a post. In my

Death Crosses and the Limits of Market Rationality

Michael Harris of Price Action Lab penned a very thought-provoking post yesterday that slices through the noise on the Russell 2000’s recent Death Cross. In spite – and because – of it’s balance and evidentiary modesty Mike’s piece will not get the wide reading it deserves as financial news media ominously wails about the pattern to demagogue the morbid fascination and easily-stimulated anxieties of casual market observers who will wonder

SP 500, EURUSD Square Outs: When Time And Price Align

In some of my past posts I have discussed how we can move the decimal point on something like the low of the S&P 500 on March 06, 2009 at 666 and find time and price value. It goes something like this: move the decimal point to 66.6 and on Monday we hit 66.6 months since the low in 2009. This is called a square out, and reflects where/when PRICE

Households Most Bullish Stocks Since 2000: Crash Redux?

As many readers are aware, I’m a big follower of investor sentiment and household data. Below is one of my favorite bigger picture charts. This chart shows the percentage of households and nonprofits financial assets in stocks and similar holdings. For reference, you can get this data from our friends at the Federal Reserve. As of the 2nd quarter, this ratio was up to 31.31%, the highest percentage reading in stocks

Why Tesla’s Stock (TSLA) May Be Headed In Reverse

Tesla Motors has been dominating news headlines lately and has become a darling of the stock market. Recent news included a software update for Tesla owners that allows them to map out a route based on current traffic congestion. Amazing stuff really. Other features for Tesla Model S owners include remote start from an iPhone and the ability to raise suspension when going over ridges or bumps. This latter feature

Russell 2000: When the Levee Breaks

After a blistering +37% run in 2013, Small Cap benchmark index Russell 2000 has spent the balance of this year oscillating a broad sideways consolidation bounded by 1210 above and 1080 below.  This range was set by the 02/05-03/03’s parabolic drive higher and has now prevailed over the last 6.5 months.Depending on timeframe, the Russell’s (in)action in 2014 has provided market players and observers with wildly disparate experiences. As a