Chartology

US Dollar Chart Pattern: CounterTrend Move Imminent

The US Dollar Index has made a big move higher since mid 2014. The world’s financial landscape is changing, and several markets, including the Forex, are in flux. How this shakes out longer-term is another story, but over the near term the US Dollar chart pattern may be setting up for a countertrend move. My particular skill set is finding PATTERNS that repeat based on musical math and then take a

Crude Oil Prices Eye 52 Week Lows: What’s Next For Crude?

Crude Oil prices continue to be a hot topic. And as news continues to stream out of the Europe regarding the ECB’s bond buying program, the falling Euro, and/or country elections, oil keeps falling. The news cycle this week is no different, as the Greek elections could pressure the Euro and, in turn, Crude Oil prices. Perhaps there is too much focus on Europe and its battle with deflation. That’s

Silver Prices Nearing Major Technical Resistance Into $19

Silver prices have enjoyed a nice rally in the early going of 2015, reaching up as high as $18.50 per ounce. The recent thrust higher likely has to do with European concerns and tension around the Swiss National Bank situation and the ECB bond buying program, but either way, price has moved higher. It’s also worth noting that the rally has landed silver right in thick of heavy price resistance.

Silver Copper Ratio Breakout Triggers Pairs Trade

Silver has been setting up pretty well for a trade. I noticed this a couple weeks back and posted about a pairs trade with Copper (long Silver, short Copper). You can read that post here.  Why was I interested in this trade? Well, in short, Silver looked like it was ready to move higher while Copper still looked week.  And this was visible on the Silver Copper ratio chart. The chart below

Moody’s Stock (MCO) In Consolidation: What I’m Watching

Although my main trading focus is on futures, I will from time to time take a closer look at an equity if something catches my attention. Recently while reading an article I stumbled upon Moody’s Corporation (MCO). After doing some homework and applying my own Fibonacci drawings, I saw Moody’s stock as a potential long setup that is in a consolidation phase. BUT as with any trading setup, we need to

Corn Prices Stabilize After USDA Report, Eye Support

After a strong multi-month late year rally above 4 dollars per bushel, Corn prices have spent much of the early going in 2015 in negative territory. The current pullback in Corn prices has been orderly, and thus far appears to be constructive, especially when considering headwinds like a stronger US Dollar. Note that the pullback began from the targeted price resistance zone that I wrote about on December 19. The

Chart: The US Dollar Index Is At Critical Juncture

The US Dollar Index has been chugging higher for 7 straight months. And each time it looks ready to pullback, it recharges its engine and goes higher. Many investors probably downplayed the rising Dollar because, amongst other things, it was still in a long-term downtrend… well it’s time that we all pay close attention to that downtrend line. The US Dollar Index is currently trading (overnight futures) above 93, with a recent

Euro Searching For A Bottom: Will The ECB Deliver?

The EURO vs US Dollar fall from grace has been, for all purposes, relentless. Economic indicators continue to be weak as investors anxiously await the ECB. Will Mr. Draghi and the ECB stem the Euro collapse? Will the next Euro target matter? I’ve tried with little success, to look for a counter trend bounce, to in turn position for another short opportunity. While the levels have been respected – the first

Stock Market Checkup: Levels To Watch On Major Indices

It’s been a rocky ride thus far for the major stock market indices in 2015. Just 3 weeks ago I wrote about the resistance levels for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), NASDAQ Composite (COMPQ), S&P 500 (SPX) and the Russell 2000 (RUT). I purposely did that post at that particular time because all 4 major stock market indices were at what I deemed “make or break” levels. Simply put, they were

Apple (AAPL) Stock Nearing $100 Support, IBM At Crossroads

If you are unfamiliar with my thesis on Apple, Inc (AAPL – quote) and International Business Machines (IBM) for 2015, it goes something like this:  IBM should start to outperform at some point in 2015, and AAPL may begin to underperform. And with AAPL $100 support coming into view and IBM $150 support in view; investors need to pay attention here. Here’s some research past research posts on the subject: