Tag "investing trends"

Bull Market Cycle Update: Let The Good Times Roll?

The amount of resources thrown at trying to develop rules or models to predict turns or direction is truly immense. The problem, though, is that the financial markets are more of a social science given the number and behaviour of participants. You simply can’t solve for ‘x’. And even if…

Stock Market Trends Review & Outlook – Week 47

THE BIG PICTURE Although stocks have been stuck in a range for a few weeks, the major stock market indexes remain in uptrends. We remain overdue for a pullback, so traders should stand at alert. The best thing for traders to do is follow the price action and steer clear…

What Bubble? Household Stock Ownership At Multi-Year Lows

A Euphoric, All-In Bubble? Once a year, Gallup conducts a poll that provides some insight into the sustainability of the bull market in stocks. The concept of an investment bubble implies irrational investor confidence. Therefore, if skepticism and fear were near all-time, bubble-like lows, we would expect a very high percentage of…

Stock Market Futures Update & Trend Outlook – Week 45

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes continue to trend higher and remain in strong uptrends. The Nasdaq showed particular strength last week and will carry that momentum forward this week. Although we remain in an overbought condition and overdue for a pullback, the best thing for traders to…

S&P 500 Futures Market Update & Trend Outlook – Week 43

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes moved higher yet again last week and remain in strong uptrends. The quick pullback that occurred early last week simply teased the bears. And although we remain  in an overbought condition and overdue for a pullback, the best thing for traders to…

“Very Long-Term View”: Massive Bull Market Breakout

Today we’ll take a look at the big picture for stocks… and the implications of a long-term bull market breakout. The charts will focus on the broad based NYSE Composite stock index (INDEXNYSEGIS:NYA). Short-Term View The NYSE Composite stock index traded near the bottom of the orange box shown below…

Global Equity Market Review: 1 Year After The Election

It has been anything but a wild ride since the election of Donald Trump nearly 1 year ago. If we take a step back and review the sentiment in the equity markets this time a year ago, the reader would see pessimism and some volatility (both personal and market related)….

U.S. Equities Outlook: Indicators Lean Bullish Into Year End

The Weight of Evidence Offers Bullish Message For S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Into Year-End Highlights: Central Bank Patience Could Be Tested Global Economy Providing Upside Surprises Seasonal Patterns Argue For Fourth Quarter Strength Market Breadth Trends Show Improved Rally Participation Improving seasonal patterns have shifted the overall weight of the evidence from…

Stock Market Update & Weekly Trend Outlook – Week 43

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes moved higher yet again last week and remain in strong uptrends. Although we are overbought and overdue for a pullback, the best thing for traders to do is follow the price action and avoid getting caught up in the noise and anticipating…

U.S. Equities Update: Stock Indicators and Market Drivers

The equity markets pushed higher last week with the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) gaining about 50 basis points.  And early this week, it’s more of the same. More important, the broader stock market is gaining significant relative strength to suggest that any near-term weakness that might develop…