Tag "gold"

Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Racing To A Near-Term Peak?

Two of 2017’s major investing themes thus far are the return of Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and the prolonged weakness in the U.S. Dollar (CURRENCY:USD). Year-to-date, Gold is up 15.72% while the U.S. Dollar is down 9.57%.  This follows a multi-year decline in Gold and a multi-year rise in the Dollar. The…

The U.S. Dollar Trade: A Macro To Micro Analysis

Note that this post went out to my “Gone Fishing” newsletter subscribers this past weekend. After hitting a 14-year high at the end of 2016, the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) has lost 11% in 2017. Whether a reaction to Trump talking it down post inauguration, US real disinflation, Euro melt-up (which…

Investor Alert: Gold Is The New VIX

  August may be known as the month of Volatility, but September is regarded as the the worst month for stocks. Simply put, August may have the biggest, unexpected volatility spikes from a place of complacency, but September has the largest draw-downs in equities, historically. So what’s at stake, or should…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Tech And Financials Weigh On Bulls

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days)- BEARISH Tuesday’s selloff was bearish for the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) in undercutting near-term support, but it managed to hold 2455 by the close which is at least a key level to hold for now. The fact that both Technology (NASDAQ:QQQ) and Financials (NYSEARCA:XLF) fell is a…

Stock Market Trends Weekly Update: Uptrend Intact

THE BIG PICTURE The broader stock market remains in an uptrend, while geopolitical risks continue to linger. The best thing to do is follow the price action and avoid anticipation due to “noise”.  If/When we correct, your process should stop you out of the trade.  Without further adieu, here’s my…

Is Silver Price Confirming Gold Sentiment?

Earlier this week market participants were exposed to some after hour fireworks – North Korea had launched a missile over Japan. As expected, gold prices caught a bid and stock index futures pulled back. The following day there was sentiment among many social media participants that “the Gold bull market…

Is This Gold Breakout For Real: Watch The Japenese Yen!

There’s been a lot of discussion recently of the breakout in gold prices. The yellow metal had been trading in a range for the last several months, seeing resistance just under $1,300/oz and support at $1,220/oz. While I do believe the breakout is encouraging and does align with seasonality for…

The Gold Miners (GDX) Are Poised For A Huge Move

Trying to time the market can be a tricky business. At Market Inflections, we use a sophisticated barometer to measure extreme investor behavior. You might be familiar with the ‘Buy and Sell Signals’ which we often post on social media. However, you may not be familiar with the software’s “compression”…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: Bulls Defend Support

We’re seeing some minor backing and filling today following Tuesdays’s big rally. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is giving back around 1/3 of yesterday’s gains at the time of this writing. European stocks are also trading fractionally lower despite some good economic data. The trend remains lower from early August…

7 Bearish Signs For Stocks… And Why The Sky Isn’t Falling

Scary Things About The Stock Market There is never a perfect time to invest in the stock market. There is always something concerning on the technical, fundamental, and political fronts…. always. There are many “reasons stocks are in big trouble” lists floating around in 2017, including “7 signs the stock…