Tag: bond market analysis

Unbroken Cycle: Why Stocks Are Poised To Drop As QE Comes...

How do stocks react when the Fed begins to tighten rates?  How do they react when markets begin to anticipate the inception of a...

Making Sense of Divergent Markets: SPX, TLT and Rising Liquidity Pools

Sell in May has come and gone, and the S&P 500 (SPX) continues to trend along the top of its primary bull market channel. Interestingly,...

Interest Rates: Will Unexpected Drop In Yields Continue?

The technical picture for interest rates has continued to resolve lower this year despite the best guesses of leading economists. The CBOE 10 Year Treasury...

Income Investors: Is It Time To Trade In Your Aggregate Bond...

Over the years I have seen investors make a number of mistakes with their income portfolios. Typically these range from having too much cash...

Record Junk Bond Sale Issues Debt Market Warning

Vague whispers of monetary tightening notwithstanding, yesterday gave a staggering reminder that the developed world remains awash in cheap money with Numericable SA's announcement...

Higher Interest Rates On Pause? 10 Year Yield In Focus

There has been a steady buzz about higher interest rates coming from the media and many institutional investors.  But are higher interest rates coming...

7 Defining Charts for 2014

With everyone offering up lists of 14 for 2014, I decided to follow a less ambitious but still mathematically justified route (2+0+1+4) with a...

10 Year Treasury Note: Yield Analysis And Correlations Into 2014

The jittery bond market has been on edge for the last seven months as rising interest rates have put a lid on nearly every...

US Treasuries: The 10-Year Yield Breakout Holds

US Treasuries don't seem to be backing down on the timeline for reducing QE. Sovereign yields are flying today on the (p)resumptive taper trade...

Did Lumber Prices Forecast The Top In The 10 Year Yield?

Lumber prices in the beginning of the year surged to a new all-time high of $411.50. In mid-March, Lumber prices began to plunge and...

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