Home Investing Research S&P 500 Trading Outlook: Market Weakening But No Signs of Selloff Yet

S&P 500 Trading Outlook: Market Weakening But No Signs of Selloff Yet

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S&P 500 Trading Outlook: Market Weakening But No Signs of Selloff Yet

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (3-5 Days):  Neutral

No change here. There is some minor evidence of stalling out, though I would need to see more weakness to lean short.

Market breadth is flat and Demark exhaustion has been completed. So for those wishing to pick a spot to sell into this uptrend, we seem to be close yet again to a good risk/reward area.

A Move UNDER 2764 on a close is a sell signal, and should drive prices down initially to 2729-2731.

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S&P 500 Trading Chart

The broad stock market index is seeing momentum slow and breadth weaken. However, as I mentioned, it’s a MUST to get down under last week’s lows of 2764 to signal any real damage.

For now, this chart (below) shows insufficient weakness to expect any real pullback just yet. A move above 2798 would allow for a push back to new highs. So bears still need to see some evidence of price turning down.

sp 500 index february 28 trading stock market trend analysis chart

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Twitter:  @MarkNewtonCMT

Author has positions in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

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mark newton stock market analyst trader
Mark has more than 20 years of buy and sell-side experience in the financial services industry. He formerly served as Chief Technical Analyst at Greywolf. Prior to that he worked with Diamondback Capital Management as a technical analyst and portfolio manager, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Before moving to the New York City area in 2004, Mark traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader at the CBOE, and worked in risk management. Mark is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. He graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991 and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002. His expertise is primarily in using advanced methods of technical analysis to identify stocks, commodities, and currencies with above-average risk/reward characteristics that can maximize returns and minimize risk. In addition to employing standard technical tools to identify trend duration, relative strength, and momentum, Mr. Newton utilizes counter-trend analysis to identify potential trend exhaustion and reversals of trend. He appears frequently on CNBC’s The Closing Bell, BNN, FOX Business News, along with Yahoo Finance.