Tag "stock market analysis"

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Market Cycles Point To A Pullback

The stock market has been “off to the races” to start 2018, as the S&P 500 is testing the 2800 price level. Stock prices continue to stretch higher. Let’s discuss what’s happening and what stock market cycles are telling us here. S&P 500 Summary and Market Cycle Outlook: The S&P…

Market Update: Consumer Staples (XLP) / NYSE Composite Ratio

The last time we blogged about this important ratio, we highlighted an important juncture for the market’s next move. While the targeted price level did yield support for a minor bounce, the overall market did not pay attention at all and the continued ‘risk-on’ institutional appetite continued. This latest advance…

Is CAPE Valuation Indicator Portending Bad Things For Stocks?

In this week’s market video, we analyze Shiller’s PE, or the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio (CAPE). Stock valuation measures are generally poor indicators for market timing.  Just take a look at a chart of the standard Price to Earnings ratio.   Standard Price to Earnings (PE) Ratio Chart So how…

Russell 2000 Spotlight: Small Cap Stocks Outperforming

The Russell 2000 and small (and micro) cap stocks have been outperforming of late. This pick up in near-term strength bodes well for small caps over the coming week, but it should be noted that the broader indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are nearing exhaustion….

Market Seasonality Composite Charts For Stocks & Bonds

Earlier this week, I shared some stock market seasonality charts on my research blog and Twitter feed.  I’d like to highlight a couple of those right here on See It Market. The charts below look back over the past 27 years (1990-2017) and put together a composite yearly seasonality chart….

S&P 500 Trading Update: One Final Hurrah Into Holiday Weekend?

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  NEUTRAL WITH UPSIDE TO 2760-2765 But I’m growing more cautious on this uptrend… While daily charts still show the potential for S&P 500 to move a bit higher, we’re starting to see some breadth divergences with Negative Advance/Decline with the VIX (Volatility Index) getting…

Stars Remain Aligned For Global Bull Market Into 2018

Market returns in 2017 were rather stellar. The S&P 500 was up 21.8%, while the Canadian TSX finished up 9.1%. Global markets were also strong from Europe to Asia to Emerging markets – characteristics of a global bull market. We remain in this sweet spot for the market with improving…

January Barometer Sends Bullish Signal To Stocks In 2018

The popular stock market averages enjoyed the best start in 14 years with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials gaining 2.6% and 2.3%, respectively, last week. And the stock market rally has continued into this week (thus far). The rally triggered a buy signal from the widely followed January…

Stock Market Trends: Review & Outlook (Week 2 / 2018)

THE BIG PICTURE The S&P 500 started 2018 with big gains. All major stock market indices continue to hover near all-time highs and remain in up-trends. Market strength has persisted for much longer than most traders anticipated. This is why traders need to follow the price action (and indicators) and…