Tag "stock market analysis"

Global Equity Market Review: 1 Year After The Election

It has been anything but a wild ride since the election of Donald Trump nearly 1 year ago. If we take a step back and review the sentiment in the equity markets this time a year ago, the reader would see pessimism and some volatility (both personal and market related)….

U.S. Equities Outlook: Indicators Lean Bullish Into Year End

The Weight of Evidence Offers Bullish Message For S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Into Year-End Highlights: Central Bank Patience Could Be Tested Global Economy Providing Upside Surprises Seasonal Patterns Argue For Fourth Quarter Strength Market Breadth Trends Show Improved Rally Participation Improving seasonal patterns have shifted the overall weight of the evidence from…

Stock Market Update & Weekly Trend Outlook – Week 43

THE BIG PICTURE The major stock market indexes moved higher yet again last week and remain in strong uptrends. Although we are overbought and overdue for a pullback, the best thing for traders to do is follow the price action and avoid getting caught up in the noise and anticipating…

Around the World: 5 Macro Themes I’m Watching

With stocks pushing higher and the world on edge politically, there’s a lot of news / noise out there. So it’s always a good idea for investors to “ground” themselves in some macro themes and considerations that are present in the marketplace. Here’s a look at 5 themes I’m watching…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Into Thin Air

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Watching for signs of price reversals from gains on Friday and into Monday. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) held where they needed to Thursday morning allowing for another rally to take shape. The budget resolution pass resulted in treasury yields spiking while S&P 500 futures (ES)…

Chart Spotlight: S&P 100 Index (OEX) At Major Price Resistance

The S&P 100 Index (INDEXSP:SP100) touched its Yearly Yr2 Pivot around 1133 on Wednesday… and its testing it yet again today (at the time of this writing, it’s at 1133.40). What’s so special about the Yearly Yr2 pivot? Well, it usually produces a market pullback or correction. For more on…

What A 1987 Stock Market Crash Would Look Like Today

On the 30-year anniversary of Black Monday, we take a look at the magnitude of the stock market crash in terms of today’s market. By now, you’ve probably gotten wind of the fact that today is the 30-year anniversary of the stock market Crash of 1987, aka Black Monday. For…

Stock Market Trading Update: Signs Of A Top

Wednesday was an interesting day in the financial markets, to say the least. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) was up solidly (0.7%), the NASDAQ 100 (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) was down (0.13%). Despite the headline glitz of the Dow Jones smashing through 23K to new all-time highs, just 16 of the 30…

U.S. Equities Update: Stock Indicators and Market Drivers

The equity markets pushed higher last week with the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) gaining about 50 basis points.  And early this week, it’s more of the same. More important, the broader stock market is gaining significant relative strength to suggest that any near-term weakness that might develop…

Low Rates / Inflation Provide Fundamental Tailwind For Stocks

  Lower Rates Longer When interest rates are low and economic data is improving, stocks and the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) typically get an added opportunity-cost boost relative to bonds. From The Wall Street Journal: “Leaders of the world’s largest central banks indicated that weak inflation in advanced economies could prolong the post-crisis…