Tag "stock market analysis"

Small Caps PE10 Valuation Ratio Getting Lofty

A number of analysts and commentators have been discussing the increasingly high levels of the “Shiller PE”, also known as CAPE or PE10, for the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX). Indeed the CAPE has historically been a good predictor of longer term forward equity market returns. But in this article we’ll…

2017 vs 2000: Are Equities Really In A Bubble?

Bubbles Are Characterized By Building Euphoria During investment bubbles, the gains over the years reach near-silly levels. For example, the last 17 years of the dot-com bubble featured an 1,800% rise in the NASDAQ Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC)  – see the first chart below. With an 1,800% on the books, some investors…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Can Bulls Push Stocks Higher Yet?

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Bullish The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has held the midpoint of its daily Bollinger Bands, an area that also held as support back on June 15th. With prices literally unchanged since the market close on June 2nd, the trend has been literally been neutral…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Targeting New Highs Into Next Week

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days): Bullish Yesterday’s pullback on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) failed to do much technical damage. I believe it’s still right to remain long here, expecting a move up into Expiration and/or early next week to 2455 (low end) / 2475 (high end). Until prices move…

Stocks Expected to Consolidate Strong First-Half Performance

The stock market pushed forward last week in a performance that made more headlines, but can best be described as mixed. And this week is seeing more of the same, with a big start Monday that gave back gains today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) and S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX)…

Are Investors Staring A Generational Opportunity In The Eye?

We Tend To Make The Same Mistakes Over And Over If you are perplexed by the post-election strength in U.S. stocks, it may be helpful to take a giant step back. From The Wall Street Journal: Many of the financial mistakes people make are caused by a fundamental shortcoming: They can’t…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For June 19

Stock Market Futures Considerations For June 19, 2017 Range bound motion on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) continues this morning as we approach resistance once more.  We are breaking above the top of the range resistance near 2440.5 to 2443.5. Breakouts seem likely with a run of stops ahead. Check out…

Equal Weight S&P 500 Playing To Bulls & Bears

A look at the Equal Weight S&P 500 has something for both the bulls and the bears. A hot, and much debated, topic of late in equity market circles is the issue of market breadth. As a refresher, breadth refers to the level of participation among all stocks in the…

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Tensions Between Stocks & Bonds

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the current trend of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), key stock market indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending June 16, 2017: Tensions Between Stocks and Bonds…