Tag "stock market indicators"

S&P 500 Trading Update: Can Bulls Push Stocks Higher Yet?

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Bullish The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) has held the midpoint of its daily Bollinger Bands, an area that also held as support back on June 15th. With prices literally unchanged since the market close on June 2nd, the trend has been literally been neutral…

S&P 500 Trading Update: Targeting New Highs Into Next Week

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days): Bullish Yesterday’s pullback on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) failed to do much technical damage. I believe it’s still right to remain long here, expecting a move up into Expiration and/or early next week to 2455 (low end) / 2475 (high end). Until prices move…

Stocks Expected to Consolidate Strong First-Half Performance

The stock market pushed forward last week in a performance that made more headlines, but can best be described as mixed. And this week is seeing more of the same, with a big start Monday that gave back gains today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) and S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX)…

Fed Funds Sweet-Spot Indicator Still A Tailwind For Stocks

Whether it’s “3 steps and a stumble” or just the fact that the Federal Reserve is thinking and talking about going from QE to QT, there is a growing sense that ‘policy normalization’ is increasing downside risk for the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). But as I talked about previously, the Fed Funds…

Is The VIX Volatility Index Signaling Caution Here?

I’ve had a great response to my Dow Award paper, Forecasting a Volatility Tsunami, with it being downloaded over 3,000 times since April. I really appreciate the support and the positive feedback I’ve received so far. Last week I had the opportunity to do a webcast with the Market Technicians…

Are Investors Staring A Generational Opportunity In The Eye?

We Tend To Make The Same Mistakes Over And Over If you are perplexed by the post-election strength in U.S. stocks, it may be helpful to take a giant step back. From The Wall Street Journal: Many of the financial mistakes people make are caused by a fundamental shortcoming: They can’t…

Equal Weight S&P 500 Playing To Bulls & Bears

A look at the Equal Weight S&P 500 has something for both the bulls and the bears. A hot, and much debated, topic of late in equity market circles is the issue of market breadth. As a refresher, breadth refers to the level of participation among all stocks in the…

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook: Tensions Between Stocks & Bonds

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the current trend of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), key stock market indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending June 16, 2017: Tensions Between Stocks and Bonds…

Stock Market Trading Update: The Bull Drags On…

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  Bullish Friday is expiration day and it might bring some volatility. That said the close is what counts. And until we see evidence of drawdowns holding on the close, doing some actual damage, it remains right to bet on further rising prices. 2443 on the…

Are Small Cap Stocks Due for a (Relative Strength) Rally?

With the Fed rate hike now in the rearview mirror, traders still appear unsettled by the relative calm in the equity markets, marked by compressed daily trading ranges and intraday reversals. Rather than attempt to predict the direction of the equity markets over the next several weeks, we’d prefer to…