Tag "stock market indicators"

Is CAPE Valuation Indicator Portending Bad Things For Stocks?

In this week’s market video, we analyze Shiller’s PE, or the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio (CAPE). Stock valuation measures are generally poor indicators for market timing.  Just take a look at a chart of the standard Price to Earnings ratio.   Standard Price to Earnings (PE) Ratio Chart So how…

Stock Market Weekend Update: Near-Term Concerns Bubble Up

The market has been very strong to start 2018 but there are a few near-term concerns bubbling up. Investor sentiment has become overheated, the broader stock market is overbought, and the Russell 2000 and small cap stocks are still lagging. Key Takeaways: Small-caps are trending higher and making new highs,…

Market Seasonality Composite Charts For Stocks & Bonds

Earlier this week, I shared some stock market seasonality charts on my research blog and Twitter feed.  I’d like to highlight a couple of those right here on See It Market. The charts below look back over the past 27 years (1990-2017) and put together a composite yearly seasonality chart….

A Real Gauge For Investment Benchmarking & Wealth Building

The New England Patriots are the winningest professional football team of the new millennia. While we could post a long list of reasons for their success, there is one that stands above the rest. In a recent interview, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady stated that they start each year with one…

S&P 500 Trading Update: One Final Hurrah Into Holiday Weekend?

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  NEUTRAL WITH UPSIDE TO 2760-2765 But I’m growing more cautious on this uptrend… While daily charts still show the potential for S&P 500 to move a bit higher, we’re starting to see some breadth divergences with Negative Advance/Decline with the VIX (Volatility Index) getting…

Stars Remain Aligned For Global Bull Market Into 2018

Market returns in 2017 were rather stellar. The S&P 500 was up 21.8%, while the Canadian TSX finished up 9.1%. Global markets were also strong from Europe to Asia to Emerging markets – characteristics of a global bull market. We remain in this sweet spot for the market with improving…

January Barometer Sends Bullish Signal To Stocks In 2018

The popular stock market averages enjoyed the best start in 14 years with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials gaining 2.6% and 2.3%, respectively, last week. And the stock market rally has continued into this week (thus far). The rally triggered a buy signal from the widely followed January…

Macro To Micro Trading Update: Market Themes & Insights

Note that this post went out to my “Gone Fishing” newsletter subscribers this weekend.  You can subscribe here.   Reflections and Inflections The Bloomberg Commodity Index started the year by setting a fresh record for consecutive gains, pushing it up more than 4% over the past month. This helped bring the US 10-year…

Stock Market Trends: Review & Outlook (Week 2 / 2018)

THE BIG PICTURE The S&P 500 started 2018 with big gains. All major stock market indices continue to hover near all-time highs and remain in up-trends. Market strength has persisted for much longer than most traders anticipated. This is why traders need to follow the price action (and indicators) and…

Stocks Headed for Choppy Action after a Strong Week

The stock market kicked off 2018 with a bang, as the S&P 500 surged toward 2750. What will this week bring? Let’s discuss what’s happening now and what our 2018 stock market cycle looks like… S&P 500 Summary & Market Cycle Outlook: The S&P 500 moved higher last week, rising…