Tag "stock market indicators"

Will Seasonal Stock Market Weakness Spell Trouble For Bulls?

It’s mid-August and it’s worth noting that the stock market has historically struggled this time of year. The chart above looks at the average seasonal performance of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) during the month of August over the past 10 and 20 years. Will S&P 500 Seasonal Weakness Offer…

U.S. Financial Markets Update: Uncertainty Creeps Back In

Optimists hope that government will eventually move on to tax reform, while pessimists worry that the Obamacare repeal-failure means tax reform is even less likely. Meanwhile, geopolitical concerns (here and abroad) are adding to market uncertainty for investors. Despite the worries, the economy continues to grow and add jobs. Below…

S&P 500 Market Update: Here Come The Bears…

S&P 500 Trading Outlook (2-3 Days):  BEARISH Upside is limited for the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) and a downturn in the Financials Sector (NYSEARCA:XLF) along with IWM, SML, and MID should have an effect on the S&P 500. A  move under 2461 this morning should lead the market lower. Near-term targets:  2450 and…

U.S. Equity Market Update: Technicals Flash Caution

A rise in geopolitical tensions helped spark the decline in the equity markets last week. Large-cap averages like the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) traded more than 1.0% lower while small-cap indices suffered the most with the Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) falling nearly 3.0%. Although much of the credit for the…

Is Global Consumer Sentiment Hinting At A Correction?

Here’s a quick update on the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment Indexes through August. The main high-level takeaways were that the composite Emerging Markets (EM) index rebounded from the fall in July (this is after a decent cyclical upturn since the bottom in February 2016). China, India, and Mexico were the main drivers. The…

S&P 500 Weekly Review & Outlook: Breadth Deteriorates

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup and trends of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) and Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC), check in on investor sentiment and market breadth indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings…

Stock Market Volatility Index (VIX) Surges as RSI Tops 80

After periods of extreme complacency, we are often met with times of severe reversals. This has been the case for the VIX Volatility Index () which is often called the “fear gauge” over the course of the last several years. This morning, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the VIX…

Stocks Head Lower: 3 Charts I’m Watching

We are seeing a continuation of yesterday’s reversal in equities. And after the first signs of a meaningful pullback from highs yesterday, a flight towards safety and safe havens looks to have begun. This is evident with the rallies in Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and Treasury Bonds. Also notable in the price…

Stocks At New Highs: Profits, Charts, Or Both?

S&P Profits Are corporate results improving or is the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and broad stock market indices rising based purely on technicals? From The Fat Pitch: “The headline numbers for 2Q17 financial reports are good: S&P profits are up 19% year-over-year; sales are 6% higher; profit margins are at new highs….