Global Markets

China PMI Surprises To The Upside As Base Metals Breakout

The October official manufacturing PMI for China rose +0.8pts to 51.2, a 2 year high.  The Markit/Caxin manufacturing PMI also rose to 51.2. The key driver of the gains in the official China PMI were a lift in (domestic) new orders, input prices, and production. This was a classic case…

U.S. Corn Weekly Outlook: Few Surprises In October WASDE Report

There were very few surprises in the USDA’s October WASDE report, which was released on Wednesday (10/12). As far as notable supply-side changes to the 2016/17 U.S. corn balance sheet, the USDA did lower the national corn yield 1 bushel per acre versus September to 173.4 bpa. This was essentially…

Global Financial Market Fund Flows Point To Rotation

September was a relatively quiet month across global financial markets, as investors returned from summer vacation to mixed economic news.  The economy is likely recovering enough to eventually warrant an interest rate hike. The worry is what happens to credit and equity markets as they adjust to higher interest rates,…

U.S. Corn Weekly Review & Futures Outlook – October 2

The most notable feature in the corn market mid-week came from the energy complex and the EIA’s weekly Petroleum Status report. The EIA’s figures showed U.S. gasoline demand falling to just 8,880 thousand barrels per day for the week ending August 23rd, 2016. This was down 770,000 barrels from the…

U.S. Economic Update: ‘Americans, We Have A Problem…’

I was six years old when the Apollo 13 mission had a major malfunction that resulted in aborting their mission to land on the moon. From that moment on, the entire focus became getting those brave astronauts back to earth safely. It took the entire brain trust of NASA to…

U.S. Economic Review And Market Update For August

August was an uneventful month, as many on Wall Street typically take their summer holiday during this period.  Most stock market indexes were little-changed. Stocks & Bonds Global stock markets surprised many market pundits by shrugging off Brexit and roaring back in July.  European equities outperformed, after underperforming in June. …

U.S. Corn Weekly Review And Price Forecast – September 11

In Monday’s Weekly Crop Progress report the USDA lowered its good-to-excellent rating in corn 1% to 74%, equal to 2014’s rating as of September 7th. All of the focus in corn remains on yield. Therefore Monday’s corn ratings decline, albeit it just 1%, did not go unnoticed by the market….

GDP Per Capita: Even Less Than Meets The Eye

Today’s lesson will look at GDP Per Capita, and economic data point that helps keep things in perspective. The most common statistic used to measure the size and growth rate of a nation’s economy is Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, GDP as most commonly used can be a flawed measurement…

Copper Prices May Fall Further In 2016 As Headwinds Mount

While copper has seen a sizable rally off the 2016 lows, it’s still in a downtrend. And this trend currently appears to be ready to continue lower based on a number of notable headwinds. Bearish headwinds include current price action, momentum, seasonality, and money flow. I’ll dig into each of these…