Major Indices

Dow Theory Non Confirmation Signal: Spring 2012 Repeat?

Dow theory can be a valuable tool to have in your toolkit. Especially if you keep the confirmation and non-confirmation signals in perspective of their given timeframe. On March 2nd, when the markets were near peak levels, I posted a research note on Dow Theory highlighting the weakness in the Dow Jones Transportation Index (DJT). That wasn’t a call for a market top, but rather a call for some caution

Caution: These Two Key Market Leaders May Be Topping

I am a big believer in following market leaders for both investment prospects and indicators. As investments, they can bring big profits. And as indicators, they can help us protect against losses. For example, when market leaders start to lag, they can have a big effect on the performance of the broader markets. Recently, we’ve seen this show up in the Biotech sector (U.S. equities leader) and are on watch

Is The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Poised To Roll Over?

On the stock exchanges in the United States and globally, many of the equity indices we monitor are displaying potential topping patterns and signals. Some have reached significant upward targets and resistance levels. Others appear ready to create lower highs this month. Among the U.S stock market indices, the Russell 2000 (RUT) offers one of the clearest examples of an index that may be on the verge of a major

S&P 500 Update: Cloudy With A Chance Of Meat-Bulls

Although the S&P 500 is just 1.5% off its all time highs, it’s fair to say that 2015 has been a chop-fest for active investors. And this doesn’t solely apply to the equity markets – it has been choppy for bonds, currencies, and commodities as well. Without regurgitating all the details, it’s also fair to say that investors have had A LOT of noise to deal with. This is the primary

SP 500 Market Update: Big Week Ahead For Active Investors

Last year was so much fun that investors thought they’d start out 2015 the same way… with hopes of getting the same result into Spring. To recap: Start the year with a really crappy January, and follow it up with an awesome February. And that has given way to thoughts of positive seasonality into May. Will it really be that easy? To a certain extent, active investors shouldn’t fight that type of

The Current State Of The E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM)

In continuing our series on the state of the major indices as we near the end of the 1st quarter, we will now take a look at the Dow Jones futures via the e-mini contract (YM). Similar to the e-mini Russell 2000 futures (TF), the opportunity to get long was several weeks ago. But that begs the question of what to do now and how to manage positions going forward? This becomes

Dow Theory In Focus: Will Transports Confirm Industrials Highs?

As the markets push higher, investors tend to become more wary by nature. This often leads to the markets climbing the proverbial “wall of worry” and several investors missing out on the opportunity of higher prices. Will March offer more of the same? Or could the markets have something else in store for active investors. One of the many near-term indicators I am watching pertains to Dow theory. And more precisely,

NASDAQ Trend Line Converging With 2000 High: Breakout Coming?

As the major stock market indices march higher, all eyes are on the NASDAQ Composite. This popular tech index is getting a ton of press lately because it’s approaching its former all-time “bubble” highs from 2000. Yep, it took 15 years to get back to these levels. I’m also seeing a lot of “buzz” about how it’s different this time. Well folks, since TIME really doesn’t exist I’m not sure what

Euro Stoxx 50 Index Shows Topping Pattern

Many of our readers know that our big-picture charts for equity and commodity markets fit together to imply a somewhat pessimistic scenario for the global economy in coming years. We’re not gloomy by nature, but we go where the charts tell us. At present, global equity markets show topping patterns. Meanwhile, declining prices for major commodities match expectations of an economic slowdown. Although we see potential reversal signals in most