Greece and China are driving the risk-off nature in global markets. Naturally, we want to try to take advantage of the opportunities the market gives us. Looking around at my favorite investment ideas, some are reaching buy areas like the 10 week moving average. Overall, though, it just seems like the market is starting to unwind and needs time after large breakdowns across various groups. Time will tell on that front.
Greece and China are driving the risk-off nature in global markets. Naturally, we want to try to take advantage of the opportunities the market gives us. Looking around at my favorite investment ideas, some are reaching buy areas like the 10 week moving average. Overall, though, it just seems like
At 223,000 non-farm jobs, the June employment report was softer than expected. Plus, both April and May were revised lower. These are months in which kids are entering the labor force even as teachers are leaving it. So a lot of things could be at play behind recent softness. After all, in 14 of the last 16 months, north of 200,000 non-farm jobs have been created, one with a four
With the Greek referendum coming up tomorrow, every day investors (and pros) have been trying to assess the risks. Here are a few key questions that they are asking (and attempting to answer): 1. How concerned should we be? 2. What is contagion and why should we care? 3. How can we monitor risks in Europe over the next few weeks? Historic Vote And Negotiations With the referendum in Greece less
It’s Volatility season. All of a sudden the Dow Jones Industrials are below the 200 day moving average. Instability and uncertainty is emerging across the globe. More and more charts are breaking down and this seems like early stage correction stuff. On the flip side, hopefully you’re having a wonderful long weekend! Happy Birthday America! Here’s this week’s Top Trading Links. MARKET INSIGHTS @RyanDetrick shows us that for whatever
Precious metals present a difficult trading scenario. While we believe they probably will reach for somewhat higher prices this summer, there is increasing risk that they will not. Traders may wish to wait for the picture to resolve before stepping back into this market. Today we’ll look at Gold prices – and specifically Gold futures. Of the two most likely paths for Gold futures, we still believe the most likely
US corn and soybean markets exploded higher on Tuesday following the release of the June 30th Acreage and Stocks reports. Let me start by distinguishing myself in the minority of those not fully supporting the price response in either market based on the figures the USDA released Tuesday mid-morning, which resulted in November soybeans closing up 57 ¼-cents per bushel at $10.37 ¼ and December corn closing up 29 ¼-cents
Unusual Options Activity Report Here’s a quick look at 5 stocks showing unusual options activity with some color around the trading setups and recent news about the companies. ACE Limited (ACE)- 2,000 Nov $100 puts were sold for $3.30. ACE is acquiring insurance competitor, Chubb, for $28.3B in a cash and stock deal. Earnings are due out on July 21st. Cypress Semiconductor (CY)- 9,000+ Sep $12 calls were bought for
The German DAX Composite began its decline well before the Greek crisis found its way back to the forefront of our trading screens. The Euro also began to firm up well before the drama in Greece. That simply means that some of the fallout in Greece is likely priced into the markets. Now this doesn’t mean that there isn’t risk to fall further, it just means that capital often begins to reposition before “events”.
The Uptick In Crude Inventories Is Leading To A Breakdown In Nabors Stock (NBR) The $4.5B oil driller earned more than $1 in EPS last year and is now projected to lose $0.22 and $0.12 this year and in 2016, respectively. The collapse in oil and gas prices is expected to cut sales in half from 2014 to 2016 ($3.4B-$3.5B). These projections may actually be too optimistic if this week’s
Back in March, I issued a long research report on the state of the Gold bear market. In that report, I shared how a number of reasons why Gold was out of favor (and remain out of favor). But I also looked at sentiment, seasonality, and technicals to make a point that Gold had an opportunity to rally. Here’s an excerpt from that post: Headwinds included: US Dollar strength, slowing