Investing Research

3 Charts That Point To Exhaustion For Dollar Rally

The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a tear since last year, rising nearly 21 percent since the rally began. I recall speaking to many technicians and market participants that were fighting the strength just as the dollar rally was getting started back in the 3re quarter of 2014. I personally think we

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Apple Earnings Preview: Expectations Flying High For AAPL

It’s been an interesting earnings day for Apple (AAPL) stock. After appearing to break out of a large wedge, AAPL slipped on Monday before gapping down today. Perhaps earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) spooked investors, as currency concerns begin to loom larger. Or maybe it was the big miss on the December retail sales release. Either way, investors are showing some concern heading into Apple earnings after the bell. According to

3 Charts That Point To Exhaustion For Dollar Rally

The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a tear since last year, rising nearly 21 percent since the rally began. I recall speaking to many technicians and market participants that were fighting the strength just as the dollar rally was getting started back in the 3re quarter of 2014. I personally think we may be in the beginning stages of a larger dollar rally but some of the indicators and charts that I’m

Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) Looms Large This Week

After a strong showing in 2014, the Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) has churned sideways into early 2015. This type of price action would typically indicate consolidation, but considering the wide swings in 2014 and recent retail sales numbers for December (not good!), it’s clear that the Consumer Discretionary ETF is looking for direction. And whichever direction it takes, the stock market may follow. Here’s a few reasons why I have XLY on

Global Macro Roundup: Navigating The Market Chop

There have been several global macro crosscurrents over the past several weeks that have highlighted the financial markets uncertainty. In 2015, investors have seen Gold rise with a stronger. And Bonds are higher, while equities are near par. What’s going on behind the scenes? Can we glean any more information from other global macro indicators? It’s time to take a quick spin around the financial markets to see where capital is flowing,

Fed Week: What’s On Tap For January 28 FOMC Statement

This was a big week for the financial markets even before the Greek elections stole the headlines on Sunday. With several economic data releases on tap this week, the markets will have plenty to digest. And investors hope they’ll get a better idea of where the equities markets are headed. Oh, and I almost forgot, it’s also FED week. Perhaps my lack of enthusiasm means that the Fed meeting and accompanying FOMC statement on

Gold Performance Snapshot: Why Currency Markets Matter

Often times, investors get caught up in valuing an asset in the world’s reserve currency: The US Dollar. This makes sense as it’s the deepest currency market in the world. However, it often doesn’t tell the whole story. If’ we truly want to see how an asset is performing on a global scale (and in terms of capital flows), then we need to value it in terms of the various currencies. Take

US Dollar Chart Pattern: CounterTrend Move Imminent

The US Dollar Index has made a big move higher since mid 2014. The world’s financial landscape is changing, and several markets, including the Forex, are in flux. How this shakes out longer-term is another story, but over the near term the US Dollar chart pattern may be setting up for a countertrend move. My particular skill set is finding PATTERNS that repeat based on musical math and then take a

Greek Elections Renew Bankruptcy Fears: Markets On Edge

The markets had eyed the Greek elections for some time. And no doubt, concerns about Greece and their commitment to the European Union have added weight to the free-falling Euro. Well, the market’s concerns were confirmed today, as the leftist party Syriza lead by Alexis Tsipras is declaring victory. The party is projected to have between 149-151 seats, with 151 needed for outright majority. So why so concerning for the European Union

Crude Oil Prices Eye 52 Week Lows: What’s Next For Crude?

Crude Oil prices continue to be a hot topic. And as news continues to stream out of the Europe regarding the ECB’s bond buying program, the falling Euro, and/or country elections, oil keeps falling. The news cycle this week is no different, as the Greek elections could pressure the Euro and, in turn, Crude Oil prices. Perhaps there is too much focus on Europe and its battle with deflation. That’s

Will Central Bank Policies Lead Investors To The Punch Bowl… Again?

Central Bank intervention works and sometimes it works a little too well. However, what happens when Central Bank policies fail to generate growth? Japan is the canary in the coal mine for that scenario and a country that we should be watching closely. At some point, the U.S. will probably have the misfortune of finding out what happens when accommodative policies stop working, but for now everyone wants to follow the lead of