Investing Research

Russell 2000: Bulls and Bears Favorite Way Of Looking At Small Caps

Year-to-date, the Russell 2000 (RUT) has lagged the S&P 500 by almost 8%, a fairly wide divergence. This divergence has a few investors concerned that this is a sign of weakness to come in the broad markets. But an interesting technical development highlights an important near-term intersection of time and

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Chart Of The Day: US Dollar Strength Slows Emerging Markets

By now, most market participants have taken note of the US Dollar rally. In the early stages of the rally, it was simply a slow rise. However, that has given way to a rapid accent, seeing the US Dollar Index jump from below 80 to 84.75 in just over two months. And the recent surge higher in the Dollar seems to be adding some volatility to the Emerging Markets complex. In the

Russell 2000: Bulls and Bears Favorite Way Of Looking At Small Caps

Year-to-date, the Russell 2000 (RUT) has lagged the S&P 500 by almost 8%, a fairly wide divergence. This divergence has a few investors concerned that this is a sign of weakness to come in the broad markets. But an interesting technical development highlights an important near-term intersection of time and price. The chart below takes a technical perspective of how the bulls & bears could be looking at small caps.

European Stocks & ETFs Underperformance In Focus

European stocks and ETFs have experienced a difficult summer amid a faltering currency and European Central Bank that has been scrambling to implement looser monetary policies. On the surface, the recent announcement of further rate cuts and asset purchases seems like a step in the right direction by the ECB to stimulate growth. However, reaction to the accumulation of news this year by European stocks has been less than stellar. The Vanguard

S&P 500: Magnet at 2000 Setting Stage For Volatility Breakout

Despite – or rather, because of – Tuesday’s pop, a widely followed measure of volatility on the S&P 500 just printed it’s lowest value since January 4, 2007. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Daily Bollinger Bands - a gauge of the standard deviation of the index’s closing value from a given (usually 20-period) moving average -  closed today with a bandwidth of only .0143. This 7 year low – surprisingly lower than even Q2

Nasdaq 100 Breakout: Watch That Retest

Over the past few months, I’ve written several pieces on the Nasdaq 100′s outperformance and leadership position. And just last month, I wrote about the Nasdaq 100 breakout above 4000. That breakout helped lead the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 to new highs. But lost in all the excitement is the technical understanding that most breakouts get tested… whether it be sooner or later (from my post on 8/19): Now before

Dow Transports: Generationally Overbought. What’s Next?

Though backed up against long-term trend line resistance, the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) continues to grind higher in 2014,  moving from strength to strength in it’s largest nominal and real cyclical move higher since at least the mid-1980s. As a result “The Transports” have entered a rarefied, “persistently overbought” state on its monthly chart.  Since the Crash of 1987, DJTA has gone through 9 “persistently overbought” periods, defined here

Traders: Stay Focused, Tune Out The Noise

No doubt, the tension on the tape is real. Stocks are attempting to consolidate near the highs (some indices better than others) with the Fed, Alibaba IPO, and the Scotland independence vote forthcoming. With all this in toe, social media is abuzz  about how it’s all going to go down. Needless to say, this likely isn’t the week to be making huge bets based on emotion. And it’s also not

WTI Crude Oil Traders: Time To Consider Covering Shorts

On August 15th, I wrote a post for See It Market about waiting for a bounce in WTI Crude Oil Futures (or related exchange traded products) before going short. If you happened to sell into the 8/21 – 8/29 rally, I believe the timing is right to consider taking a partial or full profit here. Perhaps there is more downside, but being generally conservative myself, I’d probably step out of this market

Emerging Markets (EEM) Underperformance: Charts In Focus

The Emerging Markets sector has been a tricky play for active investors. 3 failed rallies in 3 years has left many with a poor taste in their mouths. And once again, the rally is on. Is it for real this time? The Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has put together a strong rally out of the February bottom and is currently attempting to breakout above key resistance. But EEM has a few issues to

Twitter (TWTR) Strong On Debt Offering; Key Fibs Loom

Last week, Twitter (TWTR) announced that it had raised $1.8 Billion in a convertible note offering. This sent the stock higher and gave it some support throughout the week. Twitter closed the week up 2.8%, a very strong performance considering the equity markets were down for the week. By all accounts, Twitter is striking while rates are still low. But regardless of the merits of the deal, I found one technical nugget