Investing Research

Are Traders Leaving International Markets in Favor of the U.S.?

One of the major themes that kicked off 2015 was the shift from domestic equities to international. Many try to explain the shift as being caused by the large influence that foreign central bank had via easing coupled with the rise in the U.S. dollar. But we don’t know for sure

Recent Posts

Q1 US GDP Growth Turns Negative: A Ray Of Light For Bonds?

The initial ‘advanced’ US GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2015 estimated that the economy grew at 0.2%. The second revision based on more accurate numbers indicated that in the first quarter the US gross domestic product actually contracted instead of growing; the number showed no growth and a decline of 0.7%. That is a significant difference from the Wall Street economists that have been predicting annual US

Are Traders Leaving International Markets in Favor of the U.S.?

One of the major themes that kicked off 2015 was the shift from domestic equities to international. Many try to explain the shift as being caused by the large influence that foreign central bank had via easing coupled with the rise in the U.S. dollar. But we don’t know for sure – all we know is that it happened. By looking at relative performance charts we can see that International markets,

Social Media Stocks Sector Analysis: FB, TWTR, LNKD, IACI, WB

In this post I want to take an intermediate-term and longer-term look at the charts of five social media stocks. The first three that I will look at are household names that you hear about ton a dailybasis (and probably use on personal level as well): Facebook (FB), Twitter (TWTR), and LinkedIn (LNKD). But stocks like IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI) and Weibo (WB) are smaller companies in the sector that are worth paying

Why The Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) Is A Short Candidate

The Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) made an all-time high of 77.89 toward the end of April, and has more or less traded sideways in the past three months – closing Monday at 76.52. This ETF is an important one for investors to watch as it comprises of some major consumer stocks like Disney (DIS) and Amazon (AMZN). Two weeks ago when the S&P 500 Index made a push higher

S&P 500 Market Update: Will Stocks Pull Back In June?

All things considered, the major equity  indices put up some respectable numbers in May: the S&P 500 (SPX) managed to tack on 1 percent while the Russell 2000 (RUT) and Nasdaq Composite (COMPQ) posted +2.1 percent and +2.6 percent respectively. Looking at the overall price structure of the market it is still difficult to be bearish. The above three indices are in clear broad market uptrends and the worst that can be

Goldman Sachs Stock (GS): Why $230 May Be A Brick Wall

One could argue Goldman Sachs (GS) is one of the most important financial institutions on the planet for a myriad of reasons. So, writing about a potential SELL PATTERN that is present is probably not well advised. Well, as a pure play pattern recognition chartist, here’s the SELL PATTERN present on Goldman Sachs Stock. Note, we are finding resistance at the .786 retracement from the old all-time highs most recently.

Unusual Options Activity: OC, LULU, GLD, And More

It’s time to review some stocks that had unusual options activity over the past week. Although traders can never be sure why these trades take place (and who’s making them), I believe it’s important to be aware of notable options activity as an indicator for directional bias. Here’s my weekly recap of 10 stocks that saw unusual options activity and what, if any, significance these trades may have. Unusual Options Activity: 10 Stocks With Notable

The COT Report: Traders Weigh The Fed, Economic Data

The following is a recap of The COT Report (Commitment Of Traders) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of May 26, 2015. Note that the change is week-over-week. 10-Year Treasury Note: If we just focus on what the consensus was expecting, U.S. economic data this week were split down the middle, with maybe a slight upward bias. Core capex, new-home sales

The Rotation Report: Bulls And Bears Face Off At Key Level For Stocks

The switch has flipped. Bulls are struggling to figure out what they are bullish about, while bears know exactly what they are bearish about. That is a polar opposite versus 3 to 4 months ago and the broader view of the preceding 5 years. Don’t fight the fed and don’t fight the trend are en vogue for clueless drone traders and managers. With each new low in the Dow Jones Transportation Average

Top Trading Links: The Market Silence Is Deafening

The market keeps getting tougher, particularly growth stocks, as the S&P 500 Index is still stuck under the major Fibonacci extension level. (chart via @andrewnyquist) Economic data has evidently peaked but we know there can be a significant lag between economic peaks and market peaks. We don’t know what’s next, we just know where and when our trades are wrong. So let’s study up! Here’s the latest and greatest via