Tag: u.s. economic data

U.S. Economy: Squeezing The Consumer From Both Sides

The Federal Reserve raised the Federal Funds rate on December 13, 2017, marking the fifth increase over the last two years. Even with interest rates...

2017 Market Review & Update: The Year Of Investor Cheer

There was a lot of good news for the stock market in 2017... and even some good news sprinkled in for the bond market....

Investing & Economic Outlook Into 2018: Key Themes To Watch

Beyond the calm that persisted in the financial markets for the bulk of the year, 2017 was a season of real life hurricanes. Whether...

Will Federal Reserve Tightening Slow Capital Markets In 2018?

Last month marked a historic first, although it was a rather quiet entrance. Reversing course from the money printing programs of QE1, QE2 and...

U.S. Economic Surprise Index Higher as Hard Data Concerns Grow

The Economic Surprise Index soars higher on increased survey readings. We have seen an overall surprise beat from consumer confidence, empire manufacturing surveys, and the...

U.S. Energy Trade Deficit Nears Zero As Options Expand

This US energy update was power by data from my firm Avory Research. The chart highlights the shrinking energy trade deficit, the drop in...

Is The Unemployment Rate “Right”?

The topic of the unemployment rate has come up a lot recently with regards to debates around full employment, wage growth, inflation, the stage...

Chart Spotlight: Hurricane Hit Areas Add To Initial Jobless Claims

The employment data has been released and Florida, Puerto Rico, and Texas added 34.27K to the Initial Jobless Claims roll this past week. Clearly the...

Are U.S. Consumers Getting Exhausted… By Debt?

Consumption Exhaustion When people use the word catalyst to describe an event that may prick the stock market bubble, they usually discuss something singular, unexpected...

Monetary Stimulus: How Much Is Too Much?

The amount of monetary stimulus increasingly imposed on the financial system creates false signals about the economy’s true growth rate, causing a vast misallocation...

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