Tag: u.s. economic data
Are Inflation Concerns Overblown? (3 Data Points To Watch)
This week's earnings corporate reports revealed a continued focus on profitability across various sectors.
While specific details differed, many companies like Shopify, Airbnb, and Uber...
We Are Not On The 1970s Inflation Rollercoaster
We wrote this four-part inflation series in response to the graph below, implying that prices are on the same inflation roller coaster ride as...
Will Inflation Repeat The 1970’s RollerCoaster?
Appreciating Apollo’s graph below, comparing recent inflation to multiple bouts of inflation of the late 1960s, 70s, and early 80s is of utmost importance...
The Federal Reserve Pauses: What Comes Next?
After hiking rates by 5.25% since March 2022, the Fed is in a wait-and-see period, commonly deemed a pause. Since the Fed started hiking...
Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?
In February 2023, we wrote Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE. The article walks through Michael Kantrowitz’s HOPE model. HOPE, or Housing, New Orders (ISM), Corporate Profits, and Employment,...
2020 vs 2023: Are Economists Making The Same Mistake?
The following headline from a July 2020 CNBC article is stunning: Here’s why economists don’t expect trillions of dollars in economic stimulus to create inflation.
In...
A Market Crisis Is Coming: Who Will Be Swimming Naked?
We recently wrote The Lag Effect Unveiled to appreciate why it takes time for higher interest rates to inflict economic damage. We follow that up with...
Wage Inflation: The Stats and Underlying Implications
While the UAW strike continues, and the debate on how much it matters in the scheme of things rages on, other wage trends are...
Risk Free Government Debt: Fact Or Fiction?
Most investors believe that U.S. government debt is risk free. Why shouldn’t they, every economic and financial textbook, media outlet, and bond guru say...
Inflation and Deficits and QT, Oh My (Part II)
Part one of this article discusses the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could...










