Tag "investor sentiment"

Consumer Sentiment Follows Global Equities To New Highs

Over the weekend, I shared a chart brief on my website looking at two sentiment charts while discussing their role alongside the rally in global equities in 2017. The two charts pit the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment vs Global Equities (All-World), along with the same consumer sentiment charted against the Global…

Weekly Stock Market Outlook: Is The Rally Sustainable?

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup and macro trends of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), check in on investor sentiment and market breadth indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely right now. Here’s a summary of our findings for the week ending September 1,…

Stocks Rebound But Volatility Shakes Investor Confidence

The equity markets rallied last week breaking a two-week losing streak. The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and Dow Jones Industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) gained 0.7% while the Russell 2000 Index climbed 1.45%. Investors have seen an uptick in stock market volatility (INDEXCBOE:VIX) in August. And from the early action this week, that news…

Stock Market Trading Update: Bulls Press The Market Higher

S&P 500 – (2-3 Days)- BULLISH  I expect a near-term upward push above 2462 on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX).  This should turn the short-term trend back to positive for a rally into early September.  A move above 2462 would allow for a larger bounce before any selloff gets underway.   Technical Thoughts No…

Stock Market Update: The Wall Of Worry Is Growing

The equity markets declined for the second week in a row. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) fell below its 50-day moving average for the first time since May. Small-cap stocks suffered the most with the Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) dropping below its 200-day moving average, falling back to levels last…

Uncovering Value: Price Discovery And Irrational Investing Behavior

This post was written with Chris Kerlow and Craig Basinger. The essence of money management can be encapsulated in searching for investments that are trading below their intrinsic value. In theory, it works like this:  Buying these companies low, and as the market comes around to realize their intrinsic value,…

U.S. Equity Market Update: Technicals Flash Caution

A rise in geopolitical tensions helped spark the decline in the equity markets last week. Large-cap averages like the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) traded more than 1.0% lower while small-cap indices suffered the most with the Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) falling nearly 3.0%. Although much of the credit for the…

Is Global Consumer Sentiment Hinting At A Correction?

Here’s a quick update on the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment Indexes through August. The main high-level takeaways were that the composite Emerging Markets (EM) index rebounded from the fall in July (this is after a decent cyclical upturn since the bottom in February 2016). China, India, and Mexico were the main drivers. The…

S&P 500 Weekly Review & Outlook: Breadth Deteriorates

In this week’s investing research outlook, we analyze the technical setup and trends of the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) and Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC), check in on investor sentiment and market breadth indicators, and discuss emerging themes and news that we are watching closely in our investing research. Here’s a summary of our findings…

Contrarian Investing: The Pains, Gains, and Takeaways

Contrarian investing has always been a fascination of mine. From the first time I read Humphrey Neill’s classic book The Art of Contrary Thinking, I’ve been watching magazine covers, newspaper headlines (above the fold, of course) and anything else that can suggest what the masses are thinking. In case you’ve never tried…