Tag: federal reserve

The Goldilocks Narrative Reigns For Now

Market narratives have been around for ages. However, the internet and, more recently, social media allow narratives to spread much quicker. Accordingly, they have...

Commodities, Inflation: Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away

On inflation I like this quote- “Goods deflation likely transitory as downward pressure on goods demand and input costs are fading. 1H24 global core inflation likely...

The Federal Reserve Pauses: What Comes Next?

After hiking rates by 5.25% since March 2022, the Fed is in a wait-and-see period, commonly deemed a pause. Since the Fed started hiking...

3 Things To Watch This Week: Earnings, Inflation Data, and Small/Mid...

After a smoking hot week for the stock market, we sifted through the data and present you with 3 key takeaways and data points: Earnings...

Real Rates Drive Stock Prices

My firm's Daily Market Commentary provides market insight, analyzes economic and financial news, and highlights a few graphs worthy of discussion. Occasionally, I stumble upon a...

Bond Market Noise Hides Tremendous Opportunity

Treasury yield levels are overwhelmingly a function of inflation. However, in the short run, a plethora of influences can explain deviations between yields and...

Janet Yellen Suggests Much Lower For Much Longer

On October 5, 2023, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen made a very telling statement about the future course of interest rates. YELLEN SAYS DEBT SERVICE COSTS...

Interest Rate Hike Plateaus and Recessions: The Lag Effect Unveiled

Despite surging interest rates, there are few signs they are impeding economic activity or causing distress amongst borrowers. It may seem strange that higher...

Risk Free Government Debt: Fact Or Fiction?

Most investors believe that U.S. government debt is risk free. Why shouldn’t they, every economic and financial textbook, media outlet, and bond guru say...

Inflation and Deficits and QT, Oh My (Part II)

Part one of this article discusses the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could...

Most Popular

Social Media

897FansLike
40,046FollowersFollow