Stocks & Bonds

January COT Report: Traders Position For Slowing Economic Growth

The following is a recap of The COT Report (Commitment Of Traders) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of January 5 (with release of January COT report data on January 8). Note that the change in COT report data is week-over-week….

Worst Start EVER For The Stock Market: 2016 Takes The Cake

Welcome to the worst start of the year ever for the S&P 500 and Dow.  That’s right, the worst start EVER for the stock market. So what’s it mean? As we are watching CNBC run another “Markets in Crisis” special this evening, the overall opinion of most after such a weak…

Twitter (TWTR) Hits New Lows: Stock Oversold But Heavy

Shares of Twitter (TWTR) broke the $20 level on the downside and declined as low as 19.60 before recovering some of the day’s losses.  The move brought TWTR stock to new 52 week lows and continues its recent slide. Below is an updated stock chart for Twitter (TWTR) as well…

Key Market Breadth Indicator Hits New Lows: An Ominous Sign?

Many market participants and pundits have been discussing how this has been the worst start to a new year for stocks that we’ve ever had. That’s a pretty depressing thought to begin 2016 with! Unfortunately, there aren’t a lot of current data points out there that brighten the investment landscape…

Stock Market Outlook: Bears Take Control In Early 2016

What We Are Watching This Week’s Stock Market Outlook: Relative Trends Point To Large-Cap U.S. Leadership – Small-caps failed to seize the leadership mantle when they had the chance. U.S. large-caps are gaining strength not just against U.S. small-caps, but against the rest of the world as well. While absolute…

Slowing Productivity Fast Becoming A Global Problem

In “The Fed And Its Self-Defeating Monetary Policy” we focused our discussion on U.S. productivity, but weak and slowing productivity growth is not just an American problem. All of the world’s leading economies are, to varying degrees, exhibiting the same worrisome pattern. And slowing productivity is something investors across asset classes…

S&P Futures Decline Into Primary Bounce Zone

The futures market is down for the fourth day breaking through important support and holding below 1968. China’s markets were halted due to a sharp dip down falling 7% – currency troubles, it seems after a devaluation late last year. Again, though, the S&P 500 futures decline put that index near…

Will The S&P 500 See Double Digit Returns This Year?

This past year was a rough year for many traders, as the market chopped around for the majority of the year. For 2015, the S&P 500 Index closed down -0.73 percent not including dividends. Prior to 2015’s down year, there had been 17 negative years in the S&P 500 since…