Tag "us dollar"

U.S. Dollar Crossroads: Bulls Need This Support To Hold!

Back in September of last year, I highlighted a chart pattern for the US Dollar Index that would likely slow its downside momentum. In that post, we showed a measured move, two ratios and, most importantly, the time cycle coming into play to look for a low in/around the 91 level…

Can Gold Bulls Capitalize On U.S. Dollar Weakness?

The U.S. Dollar plays a big role in commodities prices. It’s always a “must-watch” for commodity traders. Typically, a falling Dollar bodes well for commodities (priced in dollars). And we’ve seen this dynamic play out with Gold and precious metals of late. One indicator that gold bulls and bears like…

COT Report Spec Positioning: Record Net Longs In Crude Oil

The following are charts and data showing non-commercial futures trading positions as of November 14, 2017. This data was released with the October 17 Commitment of Traders Report (CoT). Note that these charts also appeared on my blog. The 4 charts below look at non-commercial futures trading positions for Crude Oil, Gold, and…

Is The US Dollar Forming A Long-Term Bullish Flag Pattern?

This past year has seen the US Dollar Index (CURRENCY:USD) slide nearly 10 percent. And this action has brought out the Dollar bears. But could this all be part of a very bullish chart pattern? If so, the US Dollar could be headed much higher. The chart pattern that I…

A Seasonal Second Wind For The U.S. Dollar?

In this article we look at a couple of key potential catalysts that will shape the tactical view on the US Dollar Index (CURRENCY:USD) at a time when the US Dollar bull market is looking very tired. The chart in question appeared in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes…

U.S. Dollar Index Most Oversold Since 2008

Lots of indecision around the Dollar right now.  I’m honestly in the “I don’t know” camp when it comes to the current major trend in the US Dollar Index (CURRENCY:USD). For instance, did the dollar just finish a multi-year A B C upward correction and is it now headed for…

Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Racing To A Near-Term Peak?

Two of 2017’s major investing themes thus far are the return of Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and the prolonged weakness in the U.S. Dollar (CURRENCY:USD). Year-to-date, Gold is up 15.72% while the U.S. Dollar is down 9.57%.  This follows a multi-year decline in Gold and a multi-year rise in the Dollar. The…

The U.S. Dollar Trade: A Macro To Micro Analysis

Note that this post went out to my “Gone Fishing” newsletter subscribers this past weekend. After hitting a 14-year high at the end of 2016, the US Dollar (CURRENCY:USD) has lost 11% in 2017. Whether a reaction to Trump talking it down post inauguration, US real disinflation, Euro melt-up (which…

U.S. Equities Trading Update: Bulls Defend Support

We’re seeing some minor backing and filling today following Tuesdays’s big rally. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is giving back around 1/3 of yesterday’s gains at the time of this writing. European stocks are also trading fractionally lower despite some good economic data. The trend remains lower from early August…

Why The US Dollar Correction Might Be Over

The current setup in the US Dollar index (CURRENCY:USD) is rare in that a clear and logical fundamental and technical case can be made for a rally (or a move to the upside). Could this simply be a correction within an ongoing bull market for the US Dollar? At the…