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Stock Market Indicators Forecasting Near-Term Pullback

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Stock Market Indicators Forecasting Near-Term Pullback

The S&P 500 Index INDEXSP: .INX hit another all-time intraday high and closed higher by 0.16% today; the NASDAQ Composite also hit all-time highs.

All four major U.S. stock market indices have strongly bullish intermediate postures according to the Market Forecast technical indicator.

They are also trading above the rising 30 day moving average.

This current bullish near-term run has gone on longer than typical ones so a short-term pullback could be considered healthy; the S&P 500 is forming a bearish Near-Term divergence so that could become a distinct possibility.

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The Russell 2000 Index INDEXRUSSELL: RUT no longer has a “3 Green Arrows” signal due to a loss of positive momentum over the past week.

All four major U.S. stock market indices have bullish 10-40 weekly moving average crossover signals.

After a solid surge in the last couple weeks, U.S. Treasury yields fell back down to 1.90% today.

Many of the risk-off asset classes have experienced oversold cluster signals in recent sessions including: preferred stocks, long-term government bonds, foreign bonds, REITs, and gold.

Get market insights, stock trading ideas, and educational instruction over at the Market Scholars website.

Stock Market Video – November 12, 2019

On a market-cap weighted basis, Consumer Discretionary has a bearish intermediate posture (due to the 33% weighting of AMZN, which has been underperforming), but on an equal-weighted basis, Consumer Discretionary stocks actually have a bullish intermediate posture.

The Sector Selector shows Industrials, Financials, and Materials as the highest ranked sectors.

Major emerging markets like China and Brazil have pulled back to interesting support levels in the past week; Japan keeps marching higher.

Saudi Arabia is starting to develop an inverted head-and-shoulders reversal pattern just in time for its biggest IPO launch in history (Saudi Aramco).

Our trade application example featured purchasing shares of Allstate (ALL) for a swing trade now that it has broken out of its sideways channel and is hitting all-time highs.

Twitter:  @BrandonVanZee and @Market_Scholars 

Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

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Brandon is a co-founder of Market Scholars, where he builds portfolios while teaching daily interactive online classes and is a host of the Market Outlook YouTube video. His focus is on dividend growth investing, top-down trend trading, and put selling. He has been in the financial services industry and investing his own portfolios since 2000. Prior to Market Scholars, he was an Investment Instructor and Subject Matter Expert (SME) for dividend investing at TD Ameritrade’s education division, Investools. There he taught webinars, conducted in-person workshops, and helped write their Income Investing course material along with the scoring system used for dividend stocks. He was also the host of the Dividend Depot podcast and the Market Forecast YouTube video, along with writing for The Ticker Tape magazine and Coaching Corner blog. Other roles he has held in the financial industry include: Dividends/Reorganizations Specialist(RBC Wealth Management), Assistant Trader(RBC Global Asset Management), Head Trader(Provident Capital Corp), and Investment Specialist(TD Ameritrade). Brandon spends his free time traveling and enjoying summertime mountain activities(hiking, fishing, camping) with his wife and son.