Is The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index Signaling Trouble Ahead?

In trading, all that matters is price. And I tend to look use it to identify patterns that can help investors and traders.

We can also use market ratios as a gauge of the stock market’s health.

Today, we’ll look at the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF $RSP vs the S&P 500 Cap Weighted $SPY.

In short, bulls want to see the ratio heading higher. This is not the case in the chart below.

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We can see that the average stock (equal weight) is underperforming. This divergence has historically been a negative for stocks. Note the lack of a new ratio high in January when $SPY was making new highs.

This week, the ratio is attempting to break below its 2016 lows (and in the process making a 6 year low). Keep an eye on this ratio, it could forbode another turn lower.

S&P 500 Equal Weight vs Cap-Weight Ratio

s&p 500 equal weight index bearish underperformance investors_3 august

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Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.