IBM Stock Outlook: Risk Skews to the Downside

IBM is trading 7% lower on Wednesday morning, after beating Wall Street consensus for earnings and revenue but missing on guidance.

Can it go lower?  Yes, I believe it can… read on.

IBM reported earnings per share of $2.45 and total revenue of $19.1 billion, compared to analyst expectations of $2.42 and $18.8 billion. However, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the year at $13.80, which was below expectations of $13.83.

Can IBM go lower?

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This is where cycle analysis is useful. In looking at the charts below, we can see that on each one, this stock is in or nearing the declining phase of the respective market cycles on each chart. This suggests additional risk to the downside.

Our price target is $144.

IBM Stock Chart with Weekly and Daily Bars

ibm stock outlook research price target chart image_april 18

For an introduction to cycle analysis, check out our Stock Market Cycles video.

 

Twitter:  @askslim

The author may have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.