First Solar (FSLR) Downgrade Hits Stock, Outlook Turns Negative

Steve Miller

First Solar (FSLR): Barclays downgrade sends stock down 6% – technical indicators suggest lower stock prices still ahead.

Barclays downgraded First Solar (FSLR) from Overweight to Underweight and dropped their price target from $66 to $49.

The analyst cited industry data on 5,000 projects both operational and in the company’s pipeline.

The analyst also believes First Solar is rapidly losing share of the U.S. downstream market.

Our technical indicators and cycles analysis tend to agree with recent news.

Let’s take a look at the chart.

First Solar (FSLR) Weekly Chart – annotations by askSlim 

fslr first solar stock forecast outlook negative bearish lower _ 16 january 2020

At we use technical analysis to evaluate price charts of stocks, futures, and ETF’s. We use a combination of cycle, trend and momentum chart studies, on multiple timeframes, to present a “sum of the evidence” directional outlook in time and price.

askSlim Technical Briefing:

first solar fslr stock technical analysis bearish _ 16 january 2020

The current negative weekly cycle configuration suggests that rallies will be within the context of an intermediate-term declining phase over the next couple of months. On the upside, there are intermediate-term resistance zones from 57.48 – 61.97. On the downside, there is key cycle low support at 50.22 followed by a major Fibonacci support at 49.01.

A weekly close below 50.22 would increase the odds of a test of the Fibonacci extension/target zone between 44.69 – 40.77. Our analysis suggests that for the bulls to regain control of the intermediate-term, we would likely need to see a weekly close above 61.97.

Sum of the evidence: FSLR’s intermediate-term condition is negative. The alignment of negative cycle conditions and negative weekly momentum is likely to carry the stock to the Fibonacci extension/target zone between 44.69 – 40.77 in the coming months.

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Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.