Cisco’s Stock Price Sinks, Market Cycles Signal Deep Correction

Steve Miller
cisco systems stock price forecast lower bearish correction csco investing image

Cisco Systems NASDAQ: CSCO Stock “Weekly” Chart 

Cisco Systems (ticker: CSCO) stock price declined 7 percent on Thursday, after the company posted good earnings but missed Wall Street expectations on guidance.

Based on its market cycles, we believe the stock has broken down and that the coming cycle is going to be rough.

Cisco reported earnings per share of $0.84 and total revenue of $13.2 billion, compared to analyst estimates of $0.81 and $13.1 billion.

Looking ahead, management expects revenue of $0.75-0.77, compared to the $0.79 consensus.

Cisco Systems CEO Chuck Robbins explained that, “It feels like there is a bit of a pause. We saw things like conversion rates on our pipeline were lower than normal, which says that things didn’t close the way we would have historically seen it.”

Our approach to stock analysis uses market cycles to project price action.

CSCO appears to be in the declining phase of its current cycle. If that is so, then the stock has broken down from the low at which it started the cycle. This is quite early in the cycle, giving it plenty of time to decline. Our target is $40 by March.

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