This Week In Stocks: Market Cycle Points To Down Week

Steve Miller

It’s been another fast week in the market’s with plenty of news and noise.

Stocks eked out a gain last week, but this week could be trickier.

Here’s a quick summary:

  • The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) inched higher last week, gaining 0.2%.
  • The NASDAQ (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) was stronger, gaining 1.7%, as Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and other marquee tech firms outperformed on earnings.
  • President Trump said he would soon name his nominee for the “new” Federal Reserve Chair.

s&p 500 stock market cycle high topping_down week october 30

The stock market moved higher last week, with the S&P 500 (SPX) moving up 6 points to 2581, which is a new all-time high.

On Monday, the White House announced that the President would soon release the name of the “new” Federal Reserve Chair. This implied that it was unlikely to be Janet Yellen, and perhaps someone with a more hawkish approach.

On Tuesday, a report surfaced that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) would only produce half of the expected number of the iPhone X due to production complications. Apple traded lower on that news but later bounced as the company confirmed that the iPhone X would be in Apple Stores starting November 3.

In the absence of significant news, stocks traded lower on Wednesday and then chopped around on Thursday. But stocks traded firmly higher to end the week. This was led by Amazon (AMZN) who not only beat earnings and revenue expectations, but accelerated sales growth for the fourth straight quarter.

AMZN traded 13% higher on the day. Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) also reported strong earnings, all of which pushed the NASDAQ 104 points higher to 6213.

The accompanying chart of the S&P 500 shows our projection for this week: a possible move higher but then trading slightly lower on the week, as the current short-term cycle draws to a close. The blue-dotted half circles at the bottom of the chart illustrate the short-term cycle patterns.

For more a more detailed look at cycle analysis for a broader selection of futures, watch the askSlim Market Week every Friday afternoon.  Here’s this week’s video:

 

Twitter:  @askslim

Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

 

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