Could This S&P 500 Divergence Lead To Historic Market Correction?

Chris Kimble

After navigating an early year stock market correction, investors have seen the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA: SPY) climb back to new all-time highs.

While making new highs is bullish, it’s concerning when it comes with a significant divergence.

In this case, it’s a momentum divergence.

And history has shown that while some divergences are ignored for weeks or months, there have been a couple in the past 20 years that have lead to significant declines.

Both of these momentum divergences came when the S&P 500 made a “second high”.  See chart below.

Looking at the chart below, you can see that while the S&P 500 is trying to breakout in September (and making a second high), it’s seeing a lower momentum reading.

Two notable times we saw divergence patterns and readings like this were September 2000 and October 2007. Yikes!

History doesn’t always repeat itself, but it does offer investors a thoughtful reminder of why it’s important to pay attention to risk indicators… and to always have a plan!

S&P 500 “Second” Peaks with Momentum Divergences

s&p 500 index stock market tops divergence momentum history_october 2018

Note that KimbleCharting is offering a 30 day Free trial to See It Market readers. Just send me an email to services@kimblechartingsolutions.com for details to get set up.

Twitter:  @KimbleCharting

Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE – PLEASE READ INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER.