Tag: yield curve analysis

How To Use The Yield Curve As An Equities Risk On/Off...

The drop in equity markets and subsequent V-shaped rebound has left many traders wondering: "Is it safe to increase long equity exposure?" With pundits on...

Is The U.S. Yield Curve Flashing A Sell Signal For Stocks?

We all know about the so-called known risks in the market: valuation, slow growth, corporate earnings, Fed rate hike, China, presidential election, Brexit. Lately,...

Curve Ball: Is The Yield Curve Still A Dependable Signal?

Over the last 30 years, there has been a widely held belief, supported by data, in the predictive powers of the “slope” of the...

All Eyes On The Fed As Yield Curve Slips To New...

As all eyes turn to the Federal Reserve and the FOMC announcement on Thursday, the Treasury market may be deserving a greater focus. Many believe...

Evidence Mounting For A Widening Yield Curve

There has been a lot of debate around interest rates lately. Will they keep rising? Will they turn back lower? But amidst all the...

Yield Curve Analysis and 2014 Outlook

I wrote to you all last year in February about my forecast that market participants would see some dramatic yield curve steepening this year: And...

Spread Trading Basics For Fed ZIRP Policy

By Alex Bernal    In this article I want to circle back to one of my previous posts on analyzing yield curves and offer up a...

Yield Curve Signals and the Popular Delusion of the US Long...

By Alex Bernal A lot of people have their pet theories on what a steepening or flattening yield curve means for the stock market. From CNBC...

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