Tag: unemployment
The Employment Trend May Not Be Your Friend
Loan Delinquencies may be Signaling Recession
On June 2, 2016 the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stunned economic prognosticators and the financial media when it...
Labor Market Momentum Fades As Hiring Cools Down
Key Takeaway: Reported jobs growth fell short of expectations in May, but monthly jobs report data are noisy. Slowing jobs growth and rising compensation...
U.S. Economic Update: Higher Wages A Boon For Workers
Key Takeaway: Job openings are back to record levels and this is giving workers confidence to voluntarily leave their job to look for better...
Weak Q1 GDP Growth May Obscure Underlying Economic Strength
Key Takeaway: First quarter GDP growth could fail to meet forecasts, but Q1 weakness in GDP is becoming a recurring theme. Other measures of...
Market Update: Focus Shifting To Economic Fundamentals
Focus Shifts to Economic Fundamentals
The popular averages suffered the first downtick in six weeks last week with the damage limited to less than 1.00%....
The Current State Of The Labor Market: Holding Steady
Key Takeaway: Monthly changes in employment data are mostly noise and do not deserve the attention they get. Longer-term trends show continued (or even...
U.S. Economic Update: Are We Due For A Recession?
Key Takeaway: Federal Reserve studies suggest expansions are lasting longer and do not die just from old age. No one knows what the future...
Low Wage Growth Continues To Dog U.S. Economy
One of the hallmarks of the current U.S. recovery has been very low wage growth (i.e. a lack of wage gains). Corporations have become...
Weekend Market Commentary: US Economy Muddles Into 2016
Big Picture:
Surely the markets are happy to be done with 2015.
On Thursday we wrapped up the last minutes of trading for the year with a...
October Jobs Report Marks 61 Consecutive Months Of Gains
The October jobs report surprised nearly everyone, coming in at a very impressive 271,000 jobs created last month. Considering it was also the best...