Tag: unemployment rate

Bougie Broke the Financial Reality Behind the Facade

Social media users claiming to be Bougie Broke share pictures of their fancy cars, high-fashion clothing, and selfies in exotic locations and expensive restaurants....

The Pandemic Inflation RollerCoaster: What’s Next?

Part One of this series led with a graph from Apollo Global Management implying that we are embarking on an inflation rollercoaster for the...

Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?

In February 2023, we wrote Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE. The article walks through Michael Kantrowitz’s HOPE model. HOPE, or Housing, New Orders (ISM), Corporate Profits, and Employment,...

Employment Insights: Labor Market Still Strong

Well, it looks like AI (artificial intelligence) has not replaced everyone’s job just yet. Last week saw a surprisingly strong ADP employment report of 497k –...

U.S. Economy: Soft Landing or Recession This Year?

The stock market is betting on a Goldilocks scenario. Jerome Powell doesn’t foresee a recession, instead he forecasts a soft landing. Apollo is bettering...

Why Persistent Inflation Poses Threat To Stock Market

Some inflation data points for you to ponder: - Inflation is running hot at 5.4%. - The unemployment rate less “quitters” is 1.9%. - QE is still...

The Coronavirus Recession Is Like No Other

From the very beginning, this recession was destined to be like no other. Coronavirus, lock-downs, gradual re-openings, partial shutdowns, etc... For comparison, a normal recession...

A Dose of Reality About Employment Data and Lost Jobs

The language used to describe recent employment data is confusing. The Bureau of Labor Services (BLS) reported that the U.S. regained 9.3 million jobs...

Employment Data Isn’t As Rosy As One Might Think

“Fed Officials Worry Economy Is Too Good. Workers Still Feel Left Behind” – New York Times 4/27/2018 This coming Friday the Bureau of Labor Statistics...

Is The Unemployment Rate “Right”?

The topic of the unemployment rate has come up a lot recently with regards to debates around full employment, wage growth, inflation, the stage...

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