Tag "market sentiment"

Facebook Sentiment Data Firms After Negative News Firestorm

It’s Friday, so it is time for my Chart of the Week! As you know, I love data. Over the last month, I have been examining the Facebook situation and measuring how sentiment has evolved and its impact on consumer behavior. Here’s the data. Enjoy! The chart below shows overall publication…

Investor Sentiment Update and Outlook: 5 Charts

The much awaited and widely predicted correction (that no one really ended up predicting) has turned 2 weeks old now, and driven the S&P 500 down almost -12% top to bottom. So it’s timely to take a snapshot of where market sentiment is sitting across a number of key indicators…

U.S. Equities Weekly Outlook: Rally Participation Strong

U.S. equities continue to trade at all-time highs. The broader stock market trend is benefiting from strengthening market breadth. Meanwhile, excessive investor optimism continues to be a nagging concern. Let’s breakdown the latest action in the equities market and share some important investing research with a look forward. Key Takeaways:…

Indexing Bias: Investment Realities And Opportunities

This post was written by Derek Benedet and Craig Basinger of Richardson GMP. Behavioral Finance combines behavioral and cognitive psychology theory with conventional economics and finance. Essentially it attempts to account or add the “human” element into understanding how the markets behave. While still a relative new area, it has…

The Sure Thing: What Could Possibly Go Wrong For Investors?

The New England Patriots pulled off a stunning come-from-behind victory in Super Bowl LI, and one that was truly unprecedented in American football. Throughout modern NFL history, playoff teams that had a 19 point lead or greater in the fourth quarter, as the Atlanta Falcons did, were 93-0. A Patriots…

Investor Sentiment Polls Study: Careful Using Indicators In Isolation

During the bull market of 2002 to 2007, I noticed something very interesting with respect to the American Association of Individual Investor’s (AAII) poll. The investor sentiment trend of this poll was getting more bearish as the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) rally and cyclical bull market aged. I said to myself, and…

ISEE Call Put Ratio Hit Lowest Level Ever… Huh?

Options data from the International Securities Exchange does not corroborate the frothy readings seen in most other sentiment measures. Is the ISEE Call Put Ratio an outlier? We’ve mentioned several times in several different outlets that perhaps our biggest concern regarding the stock market presently is overheated sentiment. From professional…

S&P 500 Weekly Update: Consolidation Bullish For Stocks

S&P 500 Weekly Market Outlook & Technical Review (July 29) Here’s a look at some key stock market indicators and emerging themes that we are watching: Stocks Consolidating Recent Gains – After breaking out to a new high, stocks have settled into a narrow short-term trading range. While at times…

Fund Managers Asset Allocation For July

Summary: Since February, US equities have risen nearly 20%. Equities outside the US have risen 12%. A tailwind for this rally has been the bearish positioning of investors, with fund managers’ cash in February at the highest level since 2001. Similarly, their equity allocations in February had only been lower in…

Fund Managers Asset Allocations For June

Summary of Fund Managers Asset Allocations: Through early June, US equities had risen 17% from their lows in February. Equities outside the US had risen 15%. A tailwind for this rally was the bearish positioning of investors, with fund managers’ cash in February at the highest level since 2001. Similarly, their…