Tag: employment report
Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?
In February 2023, we wrote Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE. The article walks through Michael Kantrowitz’s HOPE model. HOPE, or Housing, New Orders (ISM), Corporate Profits, and Employment,...
Big Tech Earnings and Employment Data In Focus This Week
The following research was contributed to by Christine Short, VP of Research at Wall Street Horizon.
S&P 500 EPS growth for Q1 2023 is set...
Analyzing the Labor Market Versus the Stock Market
By the time you read this, the buzz of what the Federal Reserve did and Chairman Powell’s presser will be over, at least for...
Are Investors Worried Over Latest Jobs Report?
The recent jobs report came in less than expected with analysts’ estimates running anywhere from 250,000 to 500,000 new jobs created. Disappointingly employers added...
Goldilocks and the 3 Bears of “Layoffs, Unemployment Claims, and Payrolls”
The following article is a part of my Gone Fishing Newsletter that I provide to fishing club members each week to identify macro inflection points and...
Chart Spotlight: Hurricane Hit Areas Add To Initial Jobless Claims
The employment data has been released and Florida, Puerto Rico, and Texas added 34.27K to the Initial Jobless Claims roll this past week.
Clearly the...
Employment Trends Weakening: 14 Must-See Charts For Investors
On November 4, 2016 the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the employment data for October 2016. Economists rely heavily on employment trends &...
The Employment Trend May Not Be Your Friend
Loan Delinquencies may be Signaling Recession
On June 2, 2016 the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stunned economic prognosticators and the financial media when it...
Labor Market Momentum Fades As Hiring Cools Down
Key Takeaway: Reported jobs growth fell short of expectations in May, but monthly jobs report data are noisy. Slowing jobs growth and rising compensation...
The Current State Of The Labor Market: Holding Steady
Key Takeaway: Monthly changes in employment data are mostly noise and do not deserve the attention they get. Longer-term trends show continued (or even...
