Stocks & Bonds

Will The US Dollar Index Top With A Fed Rate Hike?

Investors across the board are convinced that higher rates are coming. So what could this mean for the global financial markets? Conventional wisdom would say that higher interest rates will provide strength to the US Dollar Index. We’ve heard that echoed since school, in economics, and pretty much all of 2015 on the television….

The COT Report: Futures Traders Long Oil And Gold, Short Treasuries

The following is a recap of The COT Report (Commitment Of Traders) released by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) looking at futures positions of non-commercial holdings as of November 17, 2015. Note that the change in the November 17 COT report data is week-over-week. 10 Year Treasury Note: Hawks are…

What History Says About Fed Rate Hike Cycles And Stocks

Gathering Perspective From Past Fed Rate Hike Cycles Based on 30-day Fed fund futures prices, the CME Group estimates a 74% probability the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December after keeping them steady for years. From a historical perspective, the table below shows the dates when the Federal…

Top Trading Links: Bulls And Bears Reach Fever Pitch

The market was relentless in its pursuit of a higher prices this week. After a sharp decline the week prior, the bulls came in at key price support and pushed prices sharply higher. Though the market is due for some consolidation very short-term, next week is a short week and…

Apple’s Dominance Is Utterly Absurd

A report was just released from Canaccord Research and in combination with research from IDC, we get the following utterly absurd results about Apple (AAPL). In short, Apple’s dominance is utterly absurd. Apple accounted for only 13.5% of total smartphones shipped globally. Apple takes home 94% of the total smartphone…

Weekly Stock Market Outlook: Climbing A Wall Of Worry

What We Are Watching This Week’s Stock Market Outlook: Stocks Ready to Climb Wall of Worry – Skepticism in the strength of the broad market, geo-political tensions, and other concerns seem to be providing a wall of worry that stocks can climb as we work toward year-end. Optimism has down-ticked…

The Morning Report: S&P 500 Levels And Trading Trajectories

Good morning and happy Friday. Time to look at some important S&P 500 levels and analyze the current price action. A bounce off yesterday afternoon lows sends us into the current congestion zones at this time in the premarket.  Formations are still bullish but weak so I expect another failed rejection…